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ReNew Energy Global plc (RNW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $5.22: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional and renewable energy sources in India. It operates through five segments: Wind Power, Solar Power, Hydro Power, Transmission Line, and Manufacturing segments. The... Read more

$5.22+25.2% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#1 of 10 Utilities - Renewable
Stop $4.92Target $6.54(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$7.69+47.3%4 analysts
$6.54our TP
$5.22price
$7.69mean
$9

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $5.22: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.5), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.1
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth36.1%
Beta0.99
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.7
Support Resistance
2.3
52w Position
2.7
GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.70Resistance $5.38

Price Targets

$5
$7
A.Upside+25.3%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts9
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$8

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-16 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RNW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $5.22: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $4.92. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RNW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.54 (+25.2% upside). Prior stop was $4.92. Stop-loss: $4.92.

What are the risks of investing in RNW?

Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.5), Negative free cash flow.

Is RNW overvalued or undervalued?

ReNew Energy Global plc trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RNW?

9 analysts cover RNW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $8.

What does ReNew Energy Global plc do?ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional...

ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional and renewable energy sources in India. It operates through five segments: Wind Power, Solar Power, Hydro Power, Transmission Line, and Manufacturing segments. The company develops and owns utility scale wind and solar energy projects, corporate wind and solar energy projects, and utility-scale firm power projects. It also provides operation and maintenance services; consultancy services; and engineering, procurement, and construction services. As of May 31, 2025, the company operates a 18.46 GWs total capacity of clean energy portfolio. ReNew Energy Global Plc was founded in 2011 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

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