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RNWReNew Energy Global plcSell5.8·$6.88
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ReNew Energy Global is a renewable energy developer with a PEG ratio of 0.05 and a strong 3-of-4 earnings beat history, but a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.4 and deeply negative free cash flow create value-trap risks in a rising-rate environment where high-leverage utilities face the greatest pressure.

Thesis pillars

  • High Leverage Value Trap Risk→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Analyst Upside↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation Peg Renewable Growth→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ReNew Energy Global plc (RNW) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.88 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional and renewable energy sources in India. It operates through two segments, Generation and Sale of Renewable Power, and Manufacturing of Power Equipment's. The... Read more

$6.88-4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 12 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-2825.41%
Stop $6.84Target $7.91(default +15%)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$7.72+12.2%4 analysts
$7.91our TP
$6.88price
$7.72mean
$9

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.88 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV124%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.83Resistance $6.90

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside-4.6%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RNW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.88 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $6.84. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RNW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.91 (-4.6% upside). Prior stop was $6.84. Stop-loss: $6.84.

What are the risks of investing in RNW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.3): -1.5.

Is RNW overvalued or undervalued?

ReNew Energy Global plc trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RNW?

9 analysts cover RNW with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $8.

What does ReNew Energy Global plc do?ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional...

ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional and renewable energy sources in India. It operates through two segments, Generation and Sale of Renewable Power, and Manufacturing of Power Equipment's. The company develops and owns utility scale wind and solar energy projects, corporate wind and solar energy projects, and utility-scale firm power projects. It also provides operation and maintenance services; consultancy services; solar modules and related products manufacturing activity; sale of power, and software services; transmission line projects; and engineering, procurement, and construction services. As of May 18, 2026, the company operates 20.2 giga watts total capacity of clean energy portfolio. ReNew Energy Global Plc was founded in 2011 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: MWH (SOLV Energy, Inc.) · CWEN (Clearway Energy, Inc.) · ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.) · NRGV (Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.) · ENIC (Enel Chile S.A.)
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