Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $187.68 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (75.0%).
Atmos Energy is a natural gas-only distributor serving approximately 3.4 million customers in eight states primarily in the South, operating regulated distribution and pipeline/storage segments. Revenue is established by state regulatory authorities and includes purchased gas... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $187.68 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (75.0%). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicTexas75%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 75 percent of our consolidated operations are located in the State of Texas.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $187.68 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (75.0%). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $181.36. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $188.66 (+0.5% upside). Prior stop was $181.36. Stop-loss: $181.36.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (75.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away).
Atmos Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.2 (forward 20.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover ATO with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $189.
What does Atmos Energy Corporation do?Atmos Energy is a natural gas-only distributor serving approximately 3.4 million customers in eight states primarily in...
Atmos Energy is a natural gas-only distributor serving approximately 3.4 million customers in eight states primarily in the South, operating regulated distribution and pipeline/storage segments. Revenue is established by state regulatory authorities and includes purchased gas cost adjustment mechanisms that largely insulate operating income from gas price fluctuations.