Skip to main content

Atkore Inc. (ATKR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $76.96: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Atkore manufactures Electrical products (conduit, cable, fittings) for non-residential construction and Safety & Infrastructure products for industrial markets, with ~88% of net sales in the U.S. Revenue comes from distribution through electrical wholesalers; Sonepar USA... Read more

$76.96+0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#14 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
Stop $72.52Target $77.45(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$74.00-3.8%3 analysts
$77.45our TP
$76.96price
$74.00mean
$71

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $76.96: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-18.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn-1.6%
ROE-3.2%
Rev Growth-0.9%
Beta1.54
Dividend1.75%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerSonepar USA
    10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2025 and 2024, one customer, Sonepar USA, accounted for more than 10% of sales.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.3
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.5
Operating Margin
1.7
Roa
2.9
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.6
No competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.4
Value Rank
8.9
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $58.37Resistance $79.03

Price Targets

$73
$77
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $76.96: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Prior stop was $72.52. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.45 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $72.52. Stop-loss: $72.52.

What are the risks of investing in ATKR?

Target reached (-18.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is ATKR overvalued or undervalued?

Atkore Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATKR?

10 analysts cover ATKR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $74.

What does Atkore Inc. do?Atkore manufactures Electrical products (conduit, cable, fittings) for non-residential construction and Safety &...

Atkore manufactures Electrical products (conduit, cable, fittings) for non-residential construction and Safety & Infrastructure products for industrial markets, with ~88% of net sales in the U.S. Revenue comes from distribution through electrical wholesalers; Sonepar USA exceeded 10% of fiscal 2025 sales and top 10 customers represented ~40% of net sales.

Related stocks: TE (T1 Energy Inc.) · AYI (Acuity Inc.) · NVT (nVent Electric plc) · HAYW (Hayward Holdings, Inc.) · FPS (Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.)