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Atkore Inc. (ATKR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.62: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Atkore is a manufacturer of electrical conduit, cable, metal framing, mechanical pipe, and perimeter security products for non-residential construction and renovation markets, primarily in North America. In fiscal 2025 it generated $2.85B revenue; ~88% of net sales were to U.S.... Read more

$72.62+6.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#7 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.53%
IncomeYield1.84%Payout40.06%sustainable
Stop $68.09Target $77.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$84.33+16.1%3 analysts
$77.11our TP
$72.62price
$84.33mean
$86

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.62: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Atkore Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%)
Target reached (-1.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-9.0%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta1.67
Dividend1.84%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerSonepar USA
    10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, one customer, Sonepar USA, accounted for more than 10% of sales'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers40%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, our top ten customers accounted for approximately 40% of net sales'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States88%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 88%, 88%, and 90% respectively, of our net sales were sold to customers located in the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
7.9
Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
1.4
Value Rank
8.9

Unprofitable operations — net margin -4.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.2
Operating Margin
2.2
Roa
2.5
Moat
3.9
Current Ratio
8.9
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.20Resistance $78.68

Price Targets

$68
$77
A.Upside+6.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.62: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $68.09. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.11 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $68.09. Stop-loss: $68.09.

What are the risks of investing in ATKR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%); Target reached (-1.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is ATKR overvalued or undervalued?

Atkore Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATKR?

10 analysts cover ATKR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Atkore Inc. do?Atkore is a manufacturer of electrical conduit, cable, metal framing, mechanical pipe, and perimeter security products...

Atkore is a manufacturer of electrical conduit, cable, metal framing, mechanical pipe, and perimeter security products for non-residential construction and renovation markets, primarily in North America. In fiscal 2025 it generated $2.85B revenue; ~88% of net sales were to U.S. customers, top 10 customers account for ~40% of net sales, and Sonepar USA individually exceeded 10% of sales.

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