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ASXASE Technology Holding Co., LtdSell6.5·$37.51
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ASE Technology pairs strong growth (45% YoY) and cheap valuation (forward P/E 18.4x, PEG 0.13) with mediocre quality and thin upside to the analyst target, leaving a reward-to-risk of only 1.29 at the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Growth Profile↑Improving
  • Earnings Quality Red Flag→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Peg↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd (ASX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $37.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United States, Taiwan, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Packaging, Testing, and EMS. The company offers semiconductor packaging,... Read more

$37.51+24.5% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#11 of 52 Semiconductors
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-232.11%
IncomeYield1.11%(5y avg 3.00%)Payout39.77%sustainable
Stop $35.43Analyst target $46.70(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst consensus$54.94+46.5%2 analysts with price targets
$46.70Analyst target
$37.51price
$54.94mean
$58

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $37.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:00Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 4, 202791d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.5
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$82.8B
EV/EBITDA2.5
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE19.9%
Rev Growth44.8%
Beta1.52
Dividend1.11%
Analysts with ratings26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$20-46.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume
5.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.53Resistance $47.83

Price Targets

$35
$47
A.Upside+24.5%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-04 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $37.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.43. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASX stock price target?

Analyst target: $46.70 (+24.5% upside). Prior stop was $35.43. Stop-loss: $35.43.

What are the risks of investing in ASX?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is ASX overvalued or undervalued?

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd trades at a P/E of 37.5 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASX?

26 analysts rate ASX, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $55.

What does ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd do?ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the...

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United States, Taiwan, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Packaging, Testing, and EMS. The company offers semiconductor packaging, interconnect materials production, front-end engineering testing, wafer probing, and final testing services, as well as integrated solutions for EMS (electronic manufacturing services) in relation to computing, peripherals, communications, industrial, automotive, and server applications. It also provides turnkey services, such as packaging, testing, and direct shipment of semiconductors to end users; wire bonding, including lead frame and substrate-based packages; advanced packages; heterogeneous integration; and other test-related services. In addition, the company engages in the leasing of properties; development, construction, sale, and management of real estate properties; management of parking lot; leasing of properties for shopping center; and management of commercial complex services and department store trading activities, as well as offers social, marketing and sales, information software, leasing and investing, and after-sales and sales support services. Further, it engages in the substrates production; investment advisory and warehousing management; design and manufacturing of electronic components and new electronic applications; technical advisory; management, training, and consulting of organization and human resources; projection of plastic; manufacture and sale of antennas, RF amplifiers and wave straps, PCBs, and tuners; and research and development activities. ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Related stocks: MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.) · AMD (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.) · MRVL (Marvell Technology, Inc.) · RMBS (Rambus, Inc.) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding )
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