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Astec Industries, Inc. (ASTE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.00: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Astec Industries, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and services equipment and components used primarily in road building and related construction activities worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Infrastructure Solutions and Materials Solutions. The... Read more

$47.00+30.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#7 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.25%
IncomeYield1.11%(5y avg 1.17%)Payout46.43%sustainable
Stop $45.61Target $61.20(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$72.00+53.2%4 analysts
$61.20our TP
$47.00price
$72.00mean
$82

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.00: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Astec Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.0
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn1.7%
ROE3.9%
Rev Growth20.3%
Beta1.48
Dividend1.11%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.8
Net Margin
0.9
Roe
1.3
Gross Margin
1.3
Operating Margin
1.5
Roa
2.8
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Current Ratio
8.0
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 11% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.6
Strong growth: 20% YoY
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $47.02Resistance $65.52

Price Targets

$46
$61
A.Upside+30.2%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.00: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $45.61. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.20 (+30.1% upside). Prior stop was $45.61. Stop-loss: $45.61.

What are the risks of investing in ASTE?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is ASTE overvalued or undervalued?

Astec Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.0 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASTE?

9 analysts cover ASTE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Astec Industries, Inc. do?Astec Industries, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and services equipment and components used primarily...

Astec Industries, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and services equipment and components used primarily in road building and related construction activities worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Infrastructure Solutions and Materials Solutions. The Infrastructure Solutions segment offers asphalt plants, cold central plant recycles systems, and soil remediation plants; concrete batch plants, liquid asphalt terminals, and thermal fluid heaters; asphalt pavers, material transfer vehicles, and milling machines; and industrial automation controls and telematics platforms, as well as engineering and environmental permitting, various plants components, polymer plants, heat recovery units, industrial and asphalt burners and systems, wood chippers and grinders, and blower trucks and trailers,. The Materials Solutions segment offers jaw, cone, heavy-duty, and mining-application crushers; horizontal and vertical shaft impactors; incline, multi-frequency and high frequency, horizontal, and dewatering screens; washing and classifying plants, fines recovery systems, and water clarification systems; radial and telescoping conveyors, pugmills, truck unloaders, hopper feeders ship loaders and unloaders, and bulk receptions feeders; and Rock breaker systems, hydraulic breakers, compactors, and pulverizers. It provides its products to asphalt or concrete producers; highway and heavy equipment contractors; utility contractors; sand and gravel producers; construction, demolition, recycle and crushing contractors; forestry and environmental recycling contractors; mine and quarry operators; port and inland terminal authorities; power stations; and domestic and foreign government agencies. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

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