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Astec Industries, Inc. (ASTE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $64.53: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Astec Industries, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and services equipment and components used primarily in road building and related construction activities worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Infrastructure Solutions and Materials Solutions. The... Read more

$64.53-1.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#7 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Stop $60.06Target $63.87(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$71.75+11.2%4 analysts
$63.87our TP
$64.53price
$71.75mean
$82

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $64.53: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-5.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.5
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE5.9%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta1.39
Dividend0.85%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.4

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
9.8

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
1.4
Net Margin
1.4
Roe
2.0
Operating Margin
3.0
Roa
3.4
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
7.8
Current Ratio
8.5
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -55% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $53.58Resistance $65.17

Price Targets

$60
$64
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $64.53: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $60.06. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.87 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $60.06. Stop-loss: $60.06.

What are the risks of investing in ASTE?

Target reached (-5.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is ASTE overvalued or undervalued?

Astec Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.5 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASTE?

8 analysts cover ASTE with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Astec Industries, Inc. do?Astec Industries, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and services equipment and components used primarily...

Astec Industries, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and services equipment and components used primarily in road building and related construction activities worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Infrastructure Solutions and Materials Solutions. The Infrastructure Solutions segment offers asphalt plants, cold central plant recycles systems, and soil remediation plants; concrete batch plants, liquid asphalt terminals, and thermal fluid heaters; asphalt pavers, material transfer vehicles, and milling machines; and industrial automation controls and telematics platforms, as well as engineering and environmental permitting, various plants components, polymer plants, heat recovery units, industrial and asphalt burners and systems, wood chippers and grinders, and blower trucks and trailers,. The Materials Solutions segment offers jaw, cone, heavy-duty, and mining-application crushers; horizontal and vertical shaft impactors; incline, multi-frequency and high frequency, horizontal, and dewatering screens; washing and classifying plants, fines recovery systems, and water clarification systems; radial and telescoping conveyors, pugmills, truck unloaders, hopper feeders ship loaders and unloaders, and bulk receptions feeders; and Rock breaker systems, hydraulic breakers, compactors, and pulverizers. It provides its products to asphalt or concrete producers; highway and heavy equipment contractors; utility contractors; sand and gravel producers; construction, demolition, recycle and crushing contractors; forestry and environmental recycling contractors; mine and quarry operators; port and inland terminal authorities; power stations; and domestic and foreign government agencies. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

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