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ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re (ASML) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1455.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet... Read more

$1455.76+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#10 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.45%
IncomeYield0.60%(5y avg 0.83%)Payout25.82%sustainable
Stop $1369.32Target $1497.08(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$1663.42+14.3%15 analysts
$1497.08our TP
$1455.76price
$1663.42mean
$901
$2003

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1455.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Contrarian signal: extreme negativity (-1.00) on quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.0
P/E (Fwd)30.9
Mkt Cap$567.5B
EV/EBITDA44.2
Profit Mgn29.7%
ROE52.2%
Rev Growth13.2%
Beta1.37
Dividend0.60%
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$1295-11.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.5
Forward Pe
3.8
Peg Ratio
4.1
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 30.9xPEG: 2.36Expensive valuation

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.9
Volume
3.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1364.81Resistance $1603.49

Price Targets

$1369
$1497
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASML stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1455.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $1497.08 (+2.8%), stop $1369.32 (−6.3%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASML stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1497.08 (+1.7% upside). Target $1497.08 (+2.8%), stop $1369.32 (−6.3%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $1369.32.

What are the risks of investing in ASML?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Expensive valuation.

Is ASML overvalued or undervalued?

ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re trades at a P/E of 49.0 (forward 30.9). TrendMatrix value score: 2.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ASML?

42 analysts cover ASML with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $1663.

What does ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re do?ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and...

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, the company offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems, a diffraction-based wafer metrology platform to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, it provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services. Additionally, the company offers hardware, software, and services to chipmakers to produce the patterns of integrated circuits. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.

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