Skip to main content

ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re (ASML) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. At $1400.61, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Expensive valuation.

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet... Read more

$1400.61+6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#5 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Stop $1303.02Target $1489.22(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$1654.69+18.1%15 analysts
$1489.22our TP
$1400.61price
$1654.69mean
$903
$1992

Sell if holding. At $1400.61, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.3%
Expensive valuation
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.1
P/E (Fwd)29.2
Mkt Cap$537.3B
EV/EBITDA41.8
Profit Mgn29.7%
ROE52.2%
Rev Growth13.2%
Beta1.38
Dividend0.63%
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.48bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$960-31.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.7
Forward Pe
4.2
Peg Ratio
4.4
Analyst Target
6.0
Forward P/E: 29.2xPEG: 2.07
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1269.85Resistance $1529.15

Price Targets

$1303
$1489
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASML stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $1400.61, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $1303.02. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASML stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1489.22 (+6.3% upside). Prior stop was $1303.02. Stop-loss: $1303.02.

What are the risks of investing in ASML?

Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.

Is ASML overvalued or undervalued?

ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re trades at a P/E of 46.1 (forward 29.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASML?

42 analysts cover ASML with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $1655.

What does ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re do?ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and...

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, the company offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems, a diffraction-based wafer metrology platform to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, it provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services. Additionally, the company offers hardware, software, and services to chipmakers to produce the patterns of integrated circuits. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: LRCX (Lam Research Corporation) · TER (Teradyne, Inc.) · KLAC (KLA Corporation) · AMAT (Applied Materials, Inc.)