Skip to main content
ARVNArvinas, Inc.Sell5.0·$8.39+2.32%
Open full analysis

Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.39: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 4.0/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.)

Arvinas, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapies to degrade disease-causing proteins. The company develops proteolysis targeting chimeras (PROTAC) targeted protein degraders that are designed to... Read more

$8.39+58.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#150 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-36.88%
Stop $7.80Target $13.32(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst target$14.80+76.4%15 analysts
$13.32our TP
$8.39price
$14.80mean
$6
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.39: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 4.0/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-2.4
Mkt Cap$541M
EV/EBITDA0.3
Profit Mgn-247.5%
ROE-42.3%
Rev Growth-91.7%
Beta1.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.12bullish
IV136%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.2
Support Resistance
1.6
52w Position
1.6
Gap
5.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -247.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
7.6
Cash-burning: FCF -223% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -315 (fail)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
1.9
Value Rank
6.9
GatesMomentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.97Resistance $8.67

Price Targets

$8
$13
A.Upside+58.8%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARVN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.39: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 4.0/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.80. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ARVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.32 (+58.8% upside). Prior stop was $7.80. Stop-loss: $7.80.

What are the risks of investing in ARVN?

Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is ARVN overvalued or undervalued?

Arvinas, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -2.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARVN?

26 analysts cover ARVN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Arvinas, Inc. do?Arvinas, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of...

Arvinas, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapies to degrade disease-causing proteins. The company develops proteolysis targeting chimeras (PROTAC) targeted protein degraders that are designed to harness the body's own natural protein disposal system to degrade and remove disease-causing proteins. It is also developing clinical development programs , including ARV-102, a leucine-rich repeat kinase 2 (LRRK2) protein for the treatment of neurodegenerative diseases, such as Parkinson's disease and progressive supranuclear palsy; ARV-806, a Kirsten rat sarcoma, G12D protein for the treatment of cancers with the G12D mutation, comprising pancreatic, colorectal, and non-small cell lung cancer; ARV-393, a B-cell lymphoma 6 protein for the treatment of relapsed/refractory non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL); ARV-027, a polyglutamine-expanded androgen receptor in skeletal muscle; and vepdegestrant, an estrogen receptor for the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic ER+/HER2- breast cancer. In addition, the company develops Bavdegalutamide (ARV-110) and Luxdegalutamide (ARV-766), investigational orally bioavailable PROTAC protein degraders for the treatment of men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. It has collaborations with Pfizer Inc., Genentech, Inc., F. Hoffman-La Roche Ltd., Carrick Therapeutics Limited, and Bayer AG. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in New Haven, Connecticut.

Related stocks: CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · SLN (Silence Therapeutics Plc - Amer)
Home Stocks ARVN

Latest news

No recent news