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APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.Sell5.4·$42.57-0.93%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

APOG combines a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with an attractive valuation, but declining revenue, a lagging quality profile, and stalled momentum after already reaching its price target keep the setup mixed.

Thesis pillars

  • Beat Streak Attractive ValuationStable
  • Declining Revenue GrowthDeteriorating
  • No Competitive MoatDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.57 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth.

We are a leading provider of architectural building products and services, as well as high-performance coated materials used in a variety of applications.

$42.57-12.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#17 of 25 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.43%
IncomeYield2.51%(5y avg 2.05%)Payout33.23%sustainable
Stop $39.87Target $48.96(default +15%)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$44.00+3.4%2 analysts
$48.96our TP
$42.57price
$44.00mean
$40
$49

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.57 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14

Recent Developments — Apogee Enterprises, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Aug 5, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangement of Certain Officers (d) On August 5, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (the "Company") elected Joseph B.

Generated 2026-08-14T11:47:19Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 8, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.5
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$897M
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE13.8%
Rev Growth-1.1%
Beta1.13
Dividend2.51%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV59%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangement of Certain Officers (d) On August 5, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (the "Company") elected Joseph B.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Item 9.01 | Financial Statements and Exhibits. 104 | Cover Page interactive Data file (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -1.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.71Resistance $44.05

Price Targets

$40
$49
A.Upside-12.1%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-08 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APOG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.57 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $39.87. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APOG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.96 (-12.1% upside). Prior stop was $39.87. Stop-loss: $39.87.

What are the risks of investing in APOG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is APOG overvalued or undervalued?

Apogee Enterprises, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.5 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APOG?

8 analysts cover APOG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Apogee Enterprises, Inc. do?We are a leading provider of architectural building products and services, as well as high-performance coated materials...

We are a leading provider of architectural building products and services, as well as high-performance coated materials used in a variety of applications.

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