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ALCAlcon Inc.Hold5.5·$77.31
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Alcon is a medical device maker with a 9/9 Piotroski score and 198% cash conversion, but the price is within 3.3% of the analyst target, revenue growth is modest, and the stock is an overbought rally inside a downtrend.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Limited Upside To Target→Stable
  • Modest Growth Profile↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Alcon Inc. (ALC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-10). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Alcon Inc. researches, develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells eye care products worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Surgical and Vision Care. It offers equipment, instrumentation and diagnostics, intraocular lenses (IOLs), and other implantables; and... Read more

$77.31-4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#13 of 29 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.41%
IncomeYield0.46%(5y avg 0.29%)Payout26.56%sustainable
Stop $73.85Analyst target $73.79(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$81.98+6.0%16 analysts with price targets
$77.31price
$81.98mean
$62
$103

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Alcon Inc.

Latest news

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Overbought (RSI 81)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)58.6
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$37.4B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.72
Dividend0.46%
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$48-38.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
Gap
4.0
52w Position
7.7
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 8.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
81 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $62.10Resistance $77.85

Price Targets

A.Upside-4.6%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $73.79 reached (−4.6%), stop $73.85 (−4.7%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALC stock price target?

Analyst target $73.79 reached (−4.6% from $77.31); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $73.79 reached (−4.6%), stop $73.85 (−4.7%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $73.85.

What are the risks of investing in ALC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Overbought (RSI 81).

Is ALC overvalued or undervalued?

Alcon Inc. trades at a P/E of 58.6 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ALC?

22 analysts rate ALC, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $82.

What does Alcon Inc. do?Alcon Inc. researches, develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells eye care products worldwide. The company operates...

Alcon Inc. researches, develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells eye care products worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Surgical and Vision Care. It offers equipment, instrumentation and diagnostics, intraocular lenses (IOLs), and other implantables; and consumables, including viscoelastics, surgical solutions, incisional instruments, surgical custom packs, and other products for surgical procedures. The company's cataract products include Unity CS, LenSx laser system, Verion reference unit and Verion digital marker, ARGOS biometer, SMARTCATARACT health platform, NGENUITY 3D visualization system, LuxOR surgical ophthalmic microscope, and ORA system for intra-operative measurements; ADI cloud-based platform; and implantable products, including monofocal, Toric, and Presbyopia-Correcting IOLs, as well as delivery systems, such as AutonoMe and UltraSert. In addition, it provides Custom Pak surgical procedure packs vitreoretinal products comprising constellation vision systems, procedure packs, lasers and hand-held microsurgical instruments, Grieshaber, MIVS instruments; scissors, forceps and micro-instruments, medical grade vitreous tamponades, and Hypervit probes; and refractive surgery products, including WaveLight and Contoura Vision used for LASIK refractive procedure. Further, the company offers daily disposable, reusable, and color-enhancing contact lenses; ocular health products, such as dry eye, ocular allergies, glaucoma, and contact lens care, as well as ocular vitamins and redness relievers. In addition it also develops and commercializes therapies for chronic eye diseases, focusing on encapsulated cell therapy platforms for ocular conditions. The company was formerly known as Alcon Universal S.A. and changed its name to Alcon Inc. in December 2001. Alcon Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland.

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