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RMDResMed Inc.Buy Wait5.8·$235.29
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ResMed is a wide-moat medical devices company with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, 25% return on equity, and four consecutive earnings beats, currently experiencing a technical downtrend that creates an accumulation opportunity for investors with a 12-to-18 month horizon.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Compounder Quality→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Technical Downtrend Accumulation Window↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ResMed Inc. (RMD) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Wait for pullback to $230.44. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $235.29. Engine's entry $230.44 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

ResMed makes cloud-connected CPAP and ventilation devices, masks and accessories for sleep apnea, COPD and other respiratory disorders, plus residential care software for home medical equipment and senior-care providers. It sells in more than 140 countries through subsidiaries... Read more

$235.29-4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#9 of 29 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.84%
IncomeYield1.12%(5y avg 0.86%)Payout23.01%sustainable
Entry $230.44(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $220.74Target $270.58(default +15%)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$250.52+6.5%17 analysts
$270.58our TP
$235.29price
$250.52mean
$175
$320

Wait for pullback to $230.44. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $235.29. Engine's entry $230.44 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ResMed Inc.

About ResMed Inc.

ResMed's cloud-connected AirView platform serves more than 30 million sleep-apnea and respiratory patients worldwide, while its Residential Care Software supports providers managing more than 160 million individual patient accounts; sales in combined Europe, Asia, and other regions outside the U.S. made up approximately 36% of net revenue in both fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2024. The company's device portfolio spans CPAP and bilevel systems, including the AirCurve 11 Series, alongside diagnostic tools such as NightOwl and ApneaLink Air.

ResMed earns revenue from device sales — CPAP and bilevel systems, high-flow therapy devices, ventilators, masks, and accessories — sold through wholly owned subsidiaries and independent distributors, plus recurring cloud-service and software revenue from its Residential Care Software business serving home medical equipment, hospice, and skilled-nursing customers. The company manufactures substantially all of its products outside the U.S. while selling in more than 140 countries, exposing it to tariff, currency, and cross-border supply-chain risk; U.S. tariffs announced in 2025 and potential retaliatory measures are cited as a specific cost pressure on components and finished goods. Reimbursement depends on government and private insurance plans covering CPAP and ventilation therapy, and ResMed competes against pharmaceutical alternatives such as GLP-1 drugs as well as device rivals including Philips, whose flow-generator recall and consent decree have temporarily reduced its competitive presence in the U.S. market. In May 2025, the company acquired VirtuOx, an independent diagnostic testing facility, to expand home-based sleep and respiratory diagnostics.

Show full overview

Two 2025-vintage risk factors point to a widening regulatory and trade perimeter around ResMed's supply chain: the 10-K discloses that the company manufactures substantially all of its products outside the U.S. just as new and threatened U.S. and retaliatory tariffs target cross-border medical-device trade, and separately warns that the May 2025 acquisition of VirtuOx subjects ResMed to new areas of direct federal healthcare oversight it did not previously carry as a device maker. Together, a foreign-manufactured device book meeting tariff exposure and a diagnostics unit meeting new federal oversight represent two distinct, dated expansions of ResMed's regulatory footprint beyond its historical FDA device-clearance risk.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From ResMed Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202615d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.8 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth
Overbought (RSI 76)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.5
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$33.1B
EV/EBITDA15.9
Profit Mgn26.9%
ROE24.3%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta0.75
Dividend1.12%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.04bearish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$125-46.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope, Asia and other regions36%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales in combined Europe, Asia and other regions accounted for approximately 36% and 36% of our net revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Brett Sandercock retires; stays CFO until May 4, 2026, then Special Advisor. Aaron Bloomer (ex-Exact Sciences CFO) appointed CFO effective May 4, 2026. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
6.7

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
4.6
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $218.03Resistance $237.06

Price Targets

$221
$230
$271
A.Upside-4.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RMD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $230.44. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $235.29. Engine's entry $230.44 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $270.58 (+15.0%), stop $220.74 (−6.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $270.58 (-4.2% upside). Target $270.58 (+15.0%), stop $220.74 (−6.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $220.74.

What are the risks of investing in RMD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth; Overbought (RSI 76).

Is RMD overvalued or undervalued?

ResMed Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.5 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about RMD?

27 analysts cover RMD with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $251.

What does ResMed Inc. do?ResMed makes cloud-connected CPAP and ventilation devices, masks and accessories for sleep apnea, COPD and other...

ResMed makes cloud-connected CPAP and ventilation devices, masks and accessories for sleep apnea, COPD and other respiratory disorders, plus residential care software for home medical equipment and senior-care providers. It sells in more than 140 countries through subsidiaries and independent distributors and employs more than 10,600 people.

Related stocks: TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · MMED (MiniMed Group, Inc.) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · ISRG (Intuitive Surgical, Inc.)
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