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American International Group, I (AIG) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $71.38. At $74.35 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $71.38 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.6%.

American International Group provides commercial and personal insurance across more than 200 countries through North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal segments. With approximately $41 billion in shareholders' equity, revenue comes from property,... Read more

$74.35+6.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#7 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
Entry $71.38(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $68.24Target $77.81(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$86.45+16.3%20 analysts
$77.81our TP
$74.35price
$86.45mean
$101

Wait for pullback to $71.38. At $74.35 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $71.38 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.6%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$39.5B
EV/EBITDA4.7
Profit Mgn11.6%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth-7.2%
Beta0.60
Dividend2.44%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.62bullish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$64-13.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    James Dunne III notified AIG Board on March 10, 2026 of his decision not to stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders (scheduled May 13, 2026). Will remain on Board until that date. No disagreement with Company operations, policies, or practices cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.9
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.98Resistance $79.62

Price Targets

$68
$71
$78
A.Upside+4.7%
A.R:R0.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $71.38. At $74.35 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $71.38 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.6%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $77.81 (+4.7%), stop $68.24 (−9.0%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AIG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.81 (+6.9% upside). Target $77.81 (+4.7%), stop $68.24 (−9.0%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $68.24.

What are the risks of investing in AIG?

Thin upside margin: 4.6%.

Is AIG overvalued or undervalued?

American International Group, I trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AIG?

26 analysts cover AIG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $86.

What does American International Group, I do?American International Group provides commercial and personal insurance across more than 200 countries through North...

American International Group provides commercial and personal insurance across more than 200 countries through North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal segments. With approximately $41 billion in shareholders' equity, revenue comes from property, casualty, financial lines, and specialty insurance premiums.

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