Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Negative momentum.
Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer and reinsurer writing insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance worldwide through wholly owned subsidiaries. In 2025, Arch wrote $16.5 billion of net premiums with approximately $26.9 billion in capital; the company... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $98.53 (+4.5%), stop $89.81 (−5.0%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $98.53 (+4.5% upside). Target $98.53 (+4.5%), stop $89.81 (−5.0%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $89.81.
Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Negative momentum.
Arch Capital Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 7.1 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.
27 analysts cover ACGL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $109.
What does Arch Capital Group Ltd. do?Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer and reinsurer writing insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage...
Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer and reinsurer writing insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance worldwide through wholly owned subsidiaries. In 2025, Arch wrote $16.5 billion of net premiums with approximately $26.9 billion in capital; the company focuses on specialty lines and avoids commodity insurance.