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Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $79.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Agilysys develops cloud-native SaaS and on-premise hospitality software (POS, PMS, inventory management, payments) for hotels, casinos, restaurants, and similar venues globally. Total revenue was $275.6M in fiscal 2025, led by subscription and maintenance ($170M), which carries... Read more

$79.50+41.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#23 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.46%
Stop $73.41Target $111.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$128.00+61.0%5 analysts
$111.36our TP
$79.50price
$128.00mean
$155

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $79.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Agilysys, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Analyst upside: 41%
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)57.6
P/E (Fwd)24.8
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA40.1
Profit Mgn12.1%
ROE13.1%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta0.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.57bearish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
0.9
Gap
3.0
Support Resistance
4.8
Extreme gap up (29.9%) - may pull back

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.2
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 8.2>=5.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $61.92Resistance $94.77

Price Targets

$73
$111
A.Upside+40.1%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts14
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$128

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-18 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGYS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $79.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $73.41. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

What is the AGYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $111.36 (+41.1% upside). Prior stop was $73.41. Stop-loss: $73.41.

What are the risks of investing in AGYS?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is AGYS overvalued or undervalued?

Agilysys, Inc. trades at a P/E of 57.6 (forward 24.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGYS?

14 analysts cover AGYS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $128.

What does Agilysys, Inc. do?Agilysys develops cloud-native SaaS and on-premise hospitality software (POS, PMS, inventory management, payments) for...

Agilysys develops cloud-native SaaS and on-premise hospitality software (POS, PMS, inventory management, payments) for hotels, casinos, restaurants, and similar venues globally. Total revenue was $275.6M in fiscal 2025, led by subscription and maintenance ($170M), which carries higher margins than products.

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