Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $64.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5; Concentration risk — Supplier: concentrated number of hardware suppliers.
Agilysys provides hospitality software including POS, property management, inventory, payments, and professional services to hotels, resorts, casinos, restaurants, and other hospitality venues. In fiscal 2025 (ended March 31, 2025), total revenue was $275.6M with... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $64.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5; Concentration risk — Supplier: concentrated number of hardware suppliers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierconcentrated number of hardware suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a concentrated number of suppliers for the majority of our hardware and for certain software and related service needs.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $64.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5; Concentration risk — Supplier: concentrated number of hardware suppliers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Prior stop was $59.66. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $111.36 (+74.0% upside). Prior stop was $59.66. Stop-loss: $59.66.
Concentration risk — Supplier: concentrated number of hardware suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Agilysys, Inc. trades at a P/E of 61.4 (forward 30.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover AGYS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $128.
What does Agilysys, Inc. do?Agilysys provides hospitality software including POS, property management, inventory, payments, and professional...
Agilysys provides hospitality software including POS, property management, inventory, payments, and professional services to hotels, resorts, casinos, restaurants, and other hospitality venues. In fiscal 2025 (ended March 31, 2025), total revenue was $275.6M with subscription/maintenance at $170.1M; operations span North America, Europe, Middle East, Asia-Pacific, and India.