A software company with strong earnings growth, excellent cash conversion, and substantial analyst-implied upside is held back by a confirmed downtrend and an uneven recent earnings execution record — a fundamentally capable business in a technically broken chart.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Growth Estimates Rising→Stable
- Strong Free Cash Conversion→Stable
- Confirmed Price Downtrend→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.8): -1.5.
Agilysys delivers cloud-native and on-premise software solutions for the hospitality industry, serving hotels, casinos, resorts, cruise lines, and food service operations globally from its Alpharetta, Georgia headquarters. Total revenue reached $319.3 million in fiscal 2026, led... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.8): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Agilysys, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Agilysys (AGYS) Q4 2026 Preview: EPS Est. $0.50, Reports May 18 - AlphaStreet — AlphaStreet neutral
- NEWS Exploring Analyst Estimates for Agilysys (AGYS) Q4 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Biggest stock movers Tuesday: AGYS (NASDAQ:AGYS) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- NEWS Agilysys (AGYS) Q4 earnings and revenues surpass estimates - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Properties in Diverse Hospitality Segments Achieve Measurable Business Gains Deploying Agilysys Technology Solutions - B — Business Wire positive
Generated 2026-07-07T11:41:56Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductsubscription and maintenance revenue10-K Item 1: 'Software subscription and maintenance services are a significant portion of our consolidated revenue'
- MEDIUMSupplierhardware and software suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a concentrated number of suppliers for the majority of our hardware and for certain software and related service needs.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.8): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Prior stop was $103.23. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $109.88 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $103.23. Stop-loss: $103.23.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Agilysys, Inc. trades at a P/E of 80.9 (forward 34.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover AGYS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $127.
What does Agilysys, Inc. do?Agilysys delivers cloud-native and on-premise software solutions for the hospitality industry, serving hotels, casinos,...
Agilysys delivers cloud-native and on-premise software solutions for the hospitality industry, serving hotels, casinos, resorts, cruise lines, and food service operations globally from its Alpharetta, Georgia headquarters. Total revenue reached $319.3 million in fiscal 2026, led by subscription and maintenance at $205.9 million, with the company operating across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific.