Skip to main content
AGCCAgencia Comercial Spirits LtdSell3.6·$15.36
Open full analysis

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (AGCC) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.36: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in procurement, distribution, and sale of whiskies in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers bottled and cask whiskies. It is also involved in the AI computing infrastructure business. The company was... Read more

$15.36+15.0% A.UpsideScore 3.6/10#4 of 4 Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.24%
Stop $14.28Target $17.66(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.36: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 3.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.12% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)384.0
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$657M
EV/EBITDA431.3
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth274.1%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
1.9
Bollinger
2.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
7.5

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
2.0
Gross Margin
2.1
Operating Margin
2.5
Roe
3.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Net Margin
4.9
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
5.6
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -1340% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Speculative
RSI
61 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.19Resistance $15.50

Price Targets

$14
$18
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.12% of cap)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AGCC.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGCC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.36: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $14.28. Score 3.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGCC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.66 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $14.28. Stop-loss: $14.28.

What are the risks of investing in AGCC?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.12% of cap).

Is AGCC overvalued or undervalued?

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd trades at a P/E of 384.0 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd do?Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in procurement, distribution, and sale of...

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in procurement, distribution, and sale of whiskies in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers bottled and cask whiskies. It is also involved in the AI computing infrastructure business. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is based in Taichung, Taiwan. Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Ping Shiang Business Ltd.

Related stocks: SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · PXED (Phoenix Education Partners, Inc) · COCO (The Vita Coco Company, Inc.) · SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp.) · COUR (Coursera, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › AGCC

Latest news

No recent news