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AECOM (ACM) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

AECOM is the largest global architectural and engineering design firm by design revenue, providing professional infrastructure consulting, design, program management, and advisory services to governments and private clients worldwide through Americas, International, and AECOM... Read more

$71.25+32.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.83%
IncomeYield1.59%Payout23.80%sustainable
Stop $66.20Target $94.43(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$108.54+52.3%12 analysts
$94.43our TP
$71.25price
$108.54mean
$145

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 22, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — AECOM

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 33%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$9.2B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE28.6%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta1.00
Dividend1.59%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
4.7
Value Rank
9.0
Attractive P/E vs peers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
5.5
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
22 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $67.64Resistance $85.82

Price Targets

$66
$94
A.Upside+32.5%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 22, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $66.20. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the ACM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $94.43 (+32.7% upside). Prior stop was $66.20. Stop-loss: $66.20.

What are the risks of investing in ACM?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is ACM overvalued or undervalued?

AECOM trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACM?

18 analysts cover ACM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $109.

What does AECOM do?AECOM is the largest global architectural and engineering design firm by design revenue, providing professional...

AECOM is the largest global architectural and engineering design firm by design revenue, providing professional infrastructure consulting, design, program management, and advisory services to governments and private clients worldwide through Americas, International, and AECOM Capital segments. Revenue of ~$16.1B in fiscal 2025 with ~50% from government clients (US federal 7%, state/local 24%, non-US 19%).

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