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ACCOAcco Brands CorporationSell5.3·$4.34
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

ACCO is a cheap, high-yield small cap (forward P/E 4.5x, 7.0% dividend, 58.1% below the analyst target) with a solid 7/9 Piotroski score, but it is excluded from the investable universe at a $397M market cap and has weak growth, falling volume and heavy Americas and Asia-supplier concentration.

Thesis pillars

  • Concentration Risk Americas Asia—
  • Deep Value Low Multiples—
  • Dividend Yield Support—
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Acco Brands Corporation (ACCO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueHigh Confidence

Industrials · Business Equipment & Supplies

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $4.34: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (59.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: lower cost countries, primarily in Asia (60.0%).

ACCO Brands designs, markets, and sells consumer, technology, and business branded products — including office supplies, gaming accessories, and technology peripherals — sold primarily in the U.S., Europe, Australia, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico through two segments, Americas (59%... Read more

$4.34+56.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 4 Business Equipment & Supplies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.27%
IncomeYield6.91%(5y avg 5.50%)Payout48.39%sustainable
Stop $4.08Target $6.80(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 9.8:1
Analyst target$8.00+84.3%3 analysts
$6.80our TP
$4.34price
$8.00mean
$9

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $4.34: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (59.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: lower cost countries, primarily in Asia (60.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-06

Recent Developments — Acco Brands Corporation

Generated 2026-08-31T11:27:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 53%
Analyst upside: 57%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (59.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: lower cost countries, primarily in Asia (60.0%)
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.0
P/E (Fwd)4.5
Mkt Cap$401M
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth5.1%
Beta1.18
Dividend6.91%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV100%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAmericas59%
    10-K Item 1: 'ACCO Brands Americas | | 59%'
  • HIGHSupplierlower cost countries, primarily in Asia60%
    10-K Item 1: 'source the remaining 60 percent from lower cost countries, primarily in Asia'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top ten customers accounted for a significant portion of our net sales.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved a third amendment to the 2022 ACCO Brands Incentive Plan at the May 19, 2026 annual meeting, adding 4,100,000 shares available for future grants and eliminating the fungible share-counting ratio for new awards.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-19Item 5.07LOW
    Reported final stockholder vote results from the May 19, 2026 annual meeting, including the election of nine director nominees for one-year terms and approval of the Incentive Plan amendment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5A.R:R 9.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.13Resistance $4.42

Price Targets

$4
$7
A.Upside+56.7%
A.R:R9.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts8
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$8

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $4.34: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (59.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: lower cost countries, primarily in Asia (60.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $4.08. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the ACCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.80 (+56.7% upside). Prior stop was $4.08. Stop-loss: $4.08.

What are the risks of investing in ACCO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (59.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: lower cost countries, primarily in Asia (60.0%); Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

Is ACCO overvalued or undervalued?

Acco Brands Corporation trades at a P/E of 7.0 (forward 4.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACCO?

8 analysts cover ACCO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Acco Brands Corporation do?ACCO Brands designs, markets, and sells consumer, technology, and business branded products — including office...

ACCO Brands designs, markets, and sells consumer, technology, and business branded products — including office supplies, gaming accessories, and technology peripherals — sold primarily in the U.S., Europe, Australia, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico through two segments, Americas (59% of 2025 net sales) and International (41%). The company's top 12 brands generated approximately $1.1 billion of 2025 net sales, with about 75% of sales coming from brands holding the No. 1 or No. 2 position in their categories.

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