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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Consumer Electronics

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $253.34. At $271.36 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $253.34 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

The Company designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services. The Company's fiscal year is the 52- or 53-week period that ends on the last Saturday of September.

$271.36+7.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#1 of 4 Consumer Electronics
Entry $253.34(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $242.05Target $274.05(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 0.1:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$297.88+9.8%40 analysts
$274.05our TP
$271.36price
$297.88mean
$215
$350

Wait for pullback to $253.34. At $271.36 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $253.34 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Val3.7Qual7.6Grw6.1Mom5.0Sent6.6Ins5.0Peer4.9Tech4.3Risk6.75.7OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.2
P/E (Fwd)28.8
Mkt Cap$3.97T
EV/EBITDA26.1
Profit Mgn27.0%
ROE152.0%
Rev Growth15.7%
Beta1.11
Dividend0.38%
Rating analysts54

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$110-59.5% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On April 20, 2026, Apple Inc. ("Apple") announced that Tim Cook will transition from his role as Chief Executive Officer to Executive Chair of Apple's Board of Directors (the "Board"), effective September 1, 2026 (the "Transition Date").
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.8
Ps
4.1
Peg Ratio
4.1
Forward Pe
4.2
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 28.8xPEG: 2.43
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $245.70Resistance $275.77

Price Targets

$242
$253
$274
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R0.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.0% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AAPL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $253.34. At $271.36 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $253.34 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $274.05 (+1.0%), stop $242.05 (−12.1%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AAPL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $274.05 (+7.7% upside). Target $274.05 (+1.0%), stop $242.05 (−12.1%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $242.05.

What are the risks of investing in AAPL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is AAPL overvalued or undervalued?

Apple Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.2 (forward 28.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AAPL?

54 analysts cover AAPL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $298.

What does Apple Inc. do?The Company designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and...

The Company designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services. The Company's fiscal year is the 52- or 53-week period that ends on the last Saturday of September.

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