York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality.
York Space Systems is a U.S.-based space and defense prime contractor designing, manufacturing, and operating spacecraft platforms, software, and ground systems primarily for national security customers. Revenue flows through long-term fixed-price government contracts; the Space... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About York Space Systems Inc.
About York Space Systems Inc.
York Space Systems held a backlog of approximately $543 million covering 107 spacecraft at December 31, 2025, sourced almost entirely from U.S. Department of Defense programs. The company's 60,000-square-foot Potomac facility targets capacity for over 1,000 satellites annually, and York completed its initial public offering in January 2026 at $34 per share on the NYSE. The Space Development Agency represented substantially all revenue and backlog at year-end.
York generates revenue primarily under long-term firm-fixed-price contracts with the DoD through the Space Development Agency's Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture program. Under FFP contracts, York absorbs all cost overruns, creating execution risk but enabling the company to monetize platform commonality: three spacecraft classes — S-CLASS, LX-CLASS, and M-CLASS — share approximately 75% of hardware and 95% of software, reducing non-recurring engineering costs across programs. Recurring revenue from in-orbit software services, downlink antenna usage through more than 45 global ground stations acquired via the ATLAS Space Operations acquisition, and hardware replacement cycles expected every five to six years is intended to grow as the installed base expands. The Missile Defense Agency SHIELD IDIQ contract, with a ceiling of $151 billion, positions York to compete for task orders in the Golden Dome missile defense program.
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York's customer concentration is acute: the SDA accounted for substantially all revenue as of December 31, 2025, and the 10-K identifies a change in SDA mandate or spending as a principal risk. Separately, the company acknowledged four material weaknesses in internal controls at the time of its January 2026 IPO; three were remediated, but the weakness in over-time revenue recognition remained unremediated at year-end. If the current administration reduces DoD discretionary spending or alters the PWSA program, York's backlog conversion and future order rate could be materially impaired.
See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
From York Space Systems Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — York Space Systems Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS ALL.SPACE Awards $8.2M Order To Sivers Semiconductors For Next-Generation Multi-Orbit Satellite Communications Terminals — benzinga Jun 9, 2026 positive
- NEWS York Space Systems Begins Shipping Second Production Round Of Tranche 1 Transport Layer Communication Satellites For Sum — benzinga Jun 5, 2026 positive
- NEWS Micron, Braiin, Redwire, Modine Manufacturing And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Tuesday — benzinga May 26, 2026 positive
- NEWS York Space Systems To Acquire Solestial In Deal Paying Up To ~2.35M York Shares Plus Cash, With Restricted Stock Conside — benzinga May 19, 2026 positive
- NEWS What's Going On With York Space Systems Stock Monday? — benzinga May 18, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T12:31:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerSpace Development Agency10-K Item 1A: 'our revenues and backlog from our largest customer, the Space Development Agency'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOWBoard appointed Janine A. Davidson as Class II director effective April 10, 2026, expanding board to eight members. Dr. Davidson also appointed to the Audit Committee. No officer departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -47.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $30.22. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $35.65 (+9.7% upside). Prior stop was $30.22. Stop-loss: $30.22.
Concentration risk — Customer: Space Development Agency; Target reached (-7.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).
York Space Systems Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 60.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover YSS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $35.
What does York Space Systems Inc. do?York Space Systems is a U.S.-based space and defense prime contractor designing, manufacturing, and operating...
York Space Systems is a U.S.-based space and defense prime contractor designing, manufacturing, and operating spacecraft platforms, software, and ground systems primarily for national security customers. Revenue flows through long-term fixed-price government contracts; the Space Development Agency accounted for substantially all revenue and backlog of approximately $543 million as of December 31, 2025.