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WPCW. P. Carey Inc. REITHold6.1·$76.69+1.98%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

W. P. Carey is a high-quality diversified REIT with strong margins near 30% and a consistent earnings beat history, but the stock is trading at or above its near-term target price with negative asymmetry, making new entry unfavorable despite solid underlying business fundamentals.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Reit MarginsStable
  • Earnings Beat HistoryStable
  • Target Exceeded Negative AsymmetryImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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W. P. Carey Inc. REIT (WPC) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-28). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (61.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

W. P. Carey is an internally-managed net-lease REIT that owned 1,682 properties across 25 countries at December 31, 2025, totaling approximately 183 million sq ft at 98.0% occupancy, leased to 371 tenants on leases averaging 12.0 years. Revenue comes from triple-net leases with... Read more

$76.69-11.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 13 REIT - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.89%
IncomeYield5.00%(5y avg 5.78%)Payout156.41%
Entry $70.95(support + ATR)Stop $68.37Target $75.24(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$78.23+2.0%13 analysts
$75.24our TP
$76.69price
$78.23mean
$73
$85

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (61.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $76.69 has reached target $75.24. No upside to wait for. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About W. P. Carey Inc. REIT

About W. P. Carey Inc. REIT

W. P. Carey owned 1,682 net-leased properties totaling approximately 183 million square feet across 25 countries at December 31, 2025, at a 98.0% net-lease occupancy rate with a weighted-average lease term of 12.0 years. The portfolio generated annualized base rent approximately 61% from U.S. properties and 33% from European assets, concentrated in single-tenant industrial, warehouse, and retail facilities critical to tenant operations. Investment-grade tenants accounted for 15% of total ABR, with another 7% designated implied investment grade.

W. P. Carey earns revenue primarily through triple-net leases requiring tenants to pay substantially all operating costs — real estate taxes, insurance, and maintenance — leaving the company's cash flows relatively insulated from property-level expense inflation. Leases are structured on a full-recourse basis; 99.7% of ABR provides rent adjustments, split between CPI-linked (48.4%) and fixed scheduled increases (48.2%). The company specializes in sale-leaseback transactions, purchasing a company's critical real estate and leasing it back long-term, a model that historically produces more predictable income than other commercial real estate investments. About 19% of leases by ABR are scheduled to expire within the next five years, requiring active management of re-leasing risk. Consolidated indebtedness stood at $8.7 billion at December 31, 2025 — a debt-to-gross-assets ratio of 43.4% — supported by a $2.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility. During 2025, W. P. Carey sold 63 self-storage operating properties, following the November 2023 Spin-Off of 59 office properties into Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP).

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W. P. Carey's lease portfolio carries rollover execution risk: the 10-K notes that properties designed for specific tenant needs may require renovation or rent concessions to attract replacement tenants, and that real estate investments are generally less liquid than financial assets — limiting the ability to quickly adjust the portfolio in response to market changes. Additionally, $140.6 million in non-recourse property-level mortgage debt at December 31, 2025 carries covenants tied to loan-to-value ratios, debt service coverage, and material adverse changes in tenant conditions — creating default exposure if property values or tenant cash flows deteriorate.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

From W. P. Carey Inc. REIT's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (61.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.1
P/E (Fwd)22.1
Mkt Cap$17.1B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn29.7%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta0.79
Dividend5.00%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV32%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States61%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 61% of our contractual minimum annualized base rent ("ABR") was generated by properties located in the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our real estate properties located in Europe represented 33% of our ABR'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.4
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
3.6
P Ocf
7.5
P/OCF: 13.2x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.5
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.31Resistance $76.78

Price Targets

$68
$71
$75
A.Upside-11.3%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.3% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WPC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (61.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $76.69 has reached target $75.24. No upside to wait for. Target $75.24 (-1.9%), stop $68.37 (−12.2%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.24 (-11.3% upside). Target $75.24 (-1.9%), stop $68.37 (−12.2%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $68.37.

What are the risks of investing in WPC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (61.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Is WPC overvalued or undervalued?

W. P. Carey Inc. REIT trades at a P/E of 32.1 (forward 22.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WPC?

18 analysts cover WPC with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $78.

What does W. P. Carey Inc. REIT do?W. P. Carey is an internally-managed net-lease REIT that owned 1,682 properties across 25 countries at December 31,...

W. P. Carey is an internally-managed net-lease REIT that owned 1,682 properties across 25 countries at December 31, 2025, totaling approximately 183 million sq ft at 98.0% occupancy, leased to 371 tenants on leases averaging 12.0 years. Revenue comes from triple-net leases with 61% of annualized base rent from U.S. properties and 33% from Europe; 99.7% of leases include rent escalators.

Related stocks: VICI (VICI Properties Inc.) · BNL (Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.) · AAT (American Assets Trust, Inc.) · GNL (Global Net Lease, Inc.)
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