Skip to main content

VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

VICI Properties is a REIT owning 93 experiential assets (54 gaming, 39 other) across 26 states and Canada, all under long-term triple-net leases with a weighted average remaining term of ~39.6 years and 100% occupancy. Revenue is primarily rent; Caesars (39%) and MGM (35%) are... Read more

$28.37+8.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 7 REIT - Diversified
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.19%
IncomeYield6.25%(5y avg 5.12%)Payout61.04%
Stop $27.27Target $30.76(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$34.17+20.5%23 analysts
$30.76our TP
$28.37price
$34.17mean
$39

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — VICI Properties Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Margin of safety: 35%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.4%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.8
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$30.7B
EV/EBITDA12.1
Profit Mgn76.8%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth3.5%
Beta0.70
Dividend6.25%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
2.9
Ma Position
3.0
Volume
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Obv
5.0
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.60Resistance $29.51

Price Targets

$27
$31
A.Upside+8.4%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VICI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $27.27. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VICI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.76 (+8.4% upside). Prior stop was $27.27. Stop-loss: $27.27.

What are the risks of investing in VICI?

Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Negative momentum.

Is VICI overvalued or undervalued?

VICI Properties Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.8 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VICI?

31 analysts cover VICI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $34.

What does VICI Properties Inc. do?VICI Properties is a REIT owning 93 experiential assets (54 gaming, 39 other) across 26 states and Canada, all under...

VICI Properties is a REIT owning 93 experiential assets (54 gaming, 39 other) across 26 states and Canada, all under long-term triple-net leases with a weighted average remaining term of ~39.6 years and 100% occupancy. Revenue is primarily rent; Caesars (39%) and MGM (35%) are the two dominant tenants comprising ~74% of annualized rent. Las Vegas Strip properties generated 49% of 2025 revenues.

Related stocks: BNL (Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.) · WPC (W. P. Carey Inc. REIT) · MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · RITM (Rithm Capital Corp.) · NMRK (Newmark Group, Inc.)