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W. P. Carey Inc. REIT (WPC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $73.03 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away).

W. P. Carey is an internally-managed diversified net lease REIT with 1,682 properties leased to 371 tenants in 25 countries, focused primarily on single-tenant industrial, warehouse, and retail facilities. As of Dec 31, 2025, ~61% of ABR came from US properties and ~33% from... Read more

$73.03-0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#4 of 7 REIT - Diversified
Stop $70.48Target $72.82(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$74.83+2.5%12 analysts
$72.82our TP
$73.03price
$74.83mean
$69
$86

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $73.03 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.5% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.8
P/E (Fwd)25.9
Mkt Cap$16.1B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn27.3%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.79
Dividend5.16%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our real estate properties located outside of the United States represented 39% of our ABR and our real estate properties located in Europe represented 33% of our ABR.'
  • LOWTenantpackaged foods & meats9.6%
    10-K Item 1A: '9.6% and 9.4% of our ABR as of December 31, 2025 is concentrated by tenant industry in packaged foods & meats and food retail, respectively.'
  • LOWTenantfood retail9.4%
    10-K Item 1A: '9.6% and 9.4% of our ABR as of December 31, 2025 is concentrated by tenant industry in packaged foods & meats and food retail, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.6
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
3.9
P Ocf
7.7
P/OCF: 12.5x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.31Resistance $74.31

Price Targets

$70
$73
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.8% upside)
! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $73.03 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $70.48. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.82 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $70.48. Stop-loss: $70.48.

What are the risks of investing in WPC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is WPC overvalued or undervalued?

W. P. Carey Inc. REIT trades at a P/E of 30.8 (forward 25.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WPC?

18 analysts cover WPC with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $75.

What does W. P. Carey Inc. REIT do?W. P. Carey is an internally-managed diversified net lease REIT with 1,682 properties leased to 371 tenants in 25...

W. P. Carey is an internally-managed diversified net lease REIT with 1,682 properties leased to 371 tenants in 25 countries, focused primarily on single-tenant industrial, warehouse, and retail facilities. As of Dec 31, 2025, ~61% of ABR came from US properties and ~33% from Europe; net-lease occupancy is ~98.0% with a 12.0-year weighted-average lease term.

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