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WPCW. P. Carey Inc. REITSell5.6·$76.16+0.91%
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W. P. Carey Inc. REIT (WPC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $76.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (61.0%).

W. P. Carey is an internally-managed net-lease REIT that owned 1,682 properties across 25 countries at December 31, 2025, totaling approximately 183 million sq ft at 98.0% occupancy, leased to 371 tenants on leases averaging 12.0 years. Revenue comes from triple-net leases with... Read more

$76.16-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#3 of 7 REIT - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.95%
IncomeYield4.98%(5y avg 5.79%)Payout156.41%
Stop $73.46Target $75.43(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst target$78.00+2.4%12 analysts
$75.43our TP
$76.16price
$78.00mean
$73
$86

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $76.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (61.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About W. P. Carey Inc. REIT

About W. P. Carey Inc. REIT

W. P. Carey owned 1,682 net-leased properties totaling approximately 183 million square feet across 25 countries at December 31, 2025, at a 98.0% net-lease occupancy rate with a weighted-average lease term of 12.0 years. The portfolio generated annualized base rent approximately 61% from U.S. properties and 33% from European assets, concentrated in single-tenant industrial, warehouse, and retail facilities critical to tenant operations. Investment-grade tenants accounted for 15% of total ABR, with another 7% designated implied investment grade.

W. P. Carey earns revenue primarily through triple-net leases requiring tenants to pay substantially all operating costs — real estate taxes, insurance, and maintenance — leaving the company's cash flows relatively insulated from property-level expense inflation. Leases are structured on a full-recourse basis; 99.7% of ABR provides rent adjustments, split between CPI-linked (48.4%) and fixed scheduled increases (48.2%). The company specializes in sale-leaseback transactions, purchasing a company's critical real estate and leasing it back long-term, a model that historically produces more predictable income than other commercial real estate investments. About 19% of leases by ABR are scheduled to expire within the next five years, requiring active management of re-leasing risk. Consolidated indebtedness stood at $8.7 billion at December 31, 2025 — a debt-to-gross-assets ratio of 43.4% — supported by a $2.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility. During 2025, W. P. Carey sold 63 self-storage operating properties, following the November 2023 Spin-Off of 59 office properties into Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP).

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W. P. Carey's lease portfolio carries rollover execution risk: the 10-K notes that properties designed for specific tenant needs may require renovation or rent concessions to attract replacement tenants, and that real estate investments are generally less liquid than financial assets — limiting the ability to quickly adjust the portfolio in response to market changes. Additionally, $140.6 million in non-recourse property-level mortgage debt at December 31, 2025 carries covenants tied to loan-to-value ratios, debt service coverage, and material adverse changes in tenant conditions — creating default exposure if property values or tenant cash flows deteriorate.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

From W. P. Carey Inc. REIT's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — W. P. Carey Inc. REIT

Generated 2026-06-17T08:21:49Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (61.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.3
P/E (Fwd)21.8
Mkt Cap$16.8B
EV/EBITDA17.4
Profit Mgn29.7%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta0.78
Dividend4.98%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$75-1.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States61%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 61% of our contractual minimum annualized base rent ("ABR") was generated by properties located in the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our real estate properties located in Europe represented 33% of our ABR'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.5
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
3.7
P Ocf
7.6
P/OCF: 13.0x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.59Resistance $76.97

Price Targets

$73
$75
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $76.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (61.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $73.46. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.43 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $73.46. Stop-loss: $73.46.

What are the risks of investing in WPC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (61.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

Is WPC overvalued or undervalued?

W. P. Carey Inc. REIT trades at a P/E of 32.3 (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WPC?

18 analysts cover WPC with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $78.

What does W. P. Carey Inc. REIT do?W. P. Carey is an internally-managed net-lease REIT that owned 1,682 properties across 25 countries at December 31,...

W. P. Carey is an internally-managed net-lease REIT that owned 1,682 properties across 25 countries at December 31, 2025, totaling approximately 183 million sq ft at 98.0% occupancy, leased to 371 tenants on leases averaging 12.0 years. Revenue comes from triple-net leases with 61% of annualized base rent from U.S. properties and 33% from Europe; 99.7% of leases include rent escalators.

Related stocks: VICI (VICI Properties Inc.) · BNL (Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.) · AAT (American Assets Trust, Inc.) · GNL (Global Net Lease, Inc.)
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