Waste Management is a high-quality business with a 30% return on equity and top-tier peer ranking on quality, but the stock has only 6.2% upside to analyst targets, two recent earnings misses, and sits below its 200-day moving average, leaving insufficient margin of safety at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Return On Equity→Stable
- Thin Upside To Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
- Recent Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Wait for pullback to $223.71. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $238.75. Engine's entry $223.71 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away).
Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and... Read more
Wait for pullback to $223.71. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $238.75. Engine's entry $223.71 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Waste Management, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Waste Management (WM) Could Be 8% Undervalued Ahead Of Earnings - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS Waste Management (NYSE:WM) Misses Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations - StockStory — StockStory negative
- NEWS Waste Management (NYSE:WM) Misses Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations - TradingView — TradingView negative
- NEWS WASTE MANAGEMENT ($WM) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS WM - Waste Management Inc Stock Price and Quote - Finviz — Finviz neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:05Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-13Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. _Retirement of Mr. Carrasco_ On May 8, 2026, Mr. Rafael E.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $223.71. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $238.75. Engine's entry $223.71 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $242.21 (+1.4%), stop $214.37 (−11.4%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $242.21 (-2.8% upside). Target $242.21 (+1.4%), stop $214.37 (−11.4%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $214.37.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.
Waste Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.4 (forward 25.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
39 analysts cover WM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $258.
What does Waste Management, Inc. do?Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the...
Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and consolidated variable interest entities. When we use the term "WMI," we are referring only to Waste Management, Inc., the parent holding company.