Weyco Group screens as statistically cheap with a strong balance sheet, but an explicit cyclical-trap warning, an expected ~60% earnings decline, three consecutive misses, and negative momentum point to a peak-earnings setup that outweighs the headline valuation.
Thesis pillars
- Cyclical Earnings Trap Warning→Stable
- Expected Earnings Decline→Stable
- Strong Fundamental Quality Score→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Weyco Group, Inc. (WEYS) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $45.37: Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. Effective April 25, 1990, the name of the corporation was changed to Weyco Group, Inc.
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $45.37: Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-24Item 1.02MEDIUM• | Giving any and all notices that may be necessary to terminate the Plan, ---|---|--- | • | Satisfying the liabilities of the Plan by making final payments to the participants in either lump sums or through the purchase of a group annuity contract in accordance with the Plan's termination provi...SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $45.37: Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $42.51. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $47.41 (+4.5% upside). Prior stop was $42.51. Stop-loss: $42.51.
Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Weyco Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 31.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
6 analysts cover WEYS with a consensus score of 2.2/5.
What does Weyco Group, Inc. do?The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. ...
The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. Effective April 25, 1990, the name of the corporation was changed to Weyco Group, Inc.