Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $159.98: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (62.0%).
Vistra Corp. is an integrated retail electricity and power generation company operating in 18 states and the District of Columbia, with approximately 44,000 MW of generation capacity and approximately 5 million retail customers. Revenue comes from retail electricity sales... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $159.98: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (62.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Vistra Corp.
Latest news
- NEWS KKR Launches New Company Helix Digital Infrastructure To Deliver Integrated Projects At The Speed And Scale Needed By Hy — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Here's How Much $100 Invested In Vistra 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today — benzinga Jun 9, 2026 positive
- NEWS As Trump Predicts Gas Prices Will 'Drop Like A Rock,' Moody's Chief Economist Estimates $100 Billion Iran War Cost To Am — benzinga Jun 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS $700 Billion and Most Investors Are Watching The Wrong Companies — benzinga Jun 1, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Third Point Sells Position In Alibaba Group; Bausch Health Companies; Brookfield Corporation; Casey's General Stores; Ch — benzinga May 15, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T09:56:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCommoditynatural gas62%10-K Item 1: 'Natural Gas| | CCGT, CT or ST| | 26,989 | | | 62%'
- MEDIUMGeographicTexas10-K Item 1: 'The largest portion of our retail operations are in Texas, where we provide retail electricity to approximately 2.6 million customers.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $159.98: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (62.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $147.51. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $202.76 (+27.8% upside). Prior stop was $147.51. Stop-loss: $147.51.
Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (62.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Vistra Corp. trades at a P/E of 25.6 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover VST with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $225.
What does Vistra Corp. do?Vistra Corp. is an integrated retail electricity and power generation company operating in 18 states and the District...
Vistra Corp. is an integrated retail electricity and power generation company operating in 18 states and the District of Columbia, with approximately 44,000 MW of generation capacity and approximately 5 million retail customers. Revenue comes from retail electricity sales through brands including TXU Energy, Ambit Energy, and Energy Harbor, combined with merchant wholesale generation dispatched across ERCOT, PJM, ISO-NE, MISO, NYISO, and CAISO markets.