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VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.Sell5.2·$181.67-2.30%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Verisk Analytics is a best-in-class data analytics franchise for U.S. property and casualty insurers, with a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak, operating margins of 29%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but the stock's near-term appeal is constrained by thin 10% upside to analyst targets, a confirmed downtrend, and heavy customer concentration in a single end market.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margin ProfileStable
  • Customer Concentration Single SectorDeteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temporary headwind edge

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Consulting Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $181.67 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. P&C primary insurers (70.0%); Weak growth.

Verisk Analytics provides data, analytics, and technology solutions to the global insurance industry as a single Insurance segment, serving all top 100 U.S. property and casualty insurers. Revenue comes from annual subscriptions (over 80% of 2025 revenues), linked in part to... Read more

$181.67+17.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#5 of 8 Consulting Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.33%
IncomeYield1.11%(5y avg 0.63%)Payout29.19%sustainable
Stop $171.37Target $213.94(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$237.71+30.8%17 analysts
$213.94our TP
$181.67price
$237.71mean
$275

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $181.67 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. P&C primary insurers (70.0%); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and news legal. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Verisk Analytics, Inc.

About Verisk Analytics, Inc.

Verisk Analytics directed approximately 70% of 2025 revenues from solutions serving U.S. property and casualty primary insurers — including all of the top 100 U.S. P&C providers for the lines Verisk covers. The company operates as a single Insurance segment following the Energy business sale on February 1, 2023 and the sale of its Marketing Solutions unit to ActiveProspect on December 31, 2025 for $80.0 million. Subscriptions and long-term agreements represented over 80% of 2025 revenues.

Verisk earns revenue through proprietary data, analytics, and software subscriptions sold to P&C insurers, reinsurers, and global specialty markets. The Insurance segment spans three areas: underwriting (forms, rules, and loss costs for 32 lines of insurance, with regulatory filings in all 50 U.S. states); catastrophe and risk modeling (probabilistic models for hurricanes, earthquakes, and other perils across more than 120 countries); and claims solutions (property estimating, anti-fraud analytics, and litigation support). Life insurance and annuities are served through the FAST platform acquired in 2019. International coverage reaches the London specialty market plus insurers in Canada, the UK, Ireland, and Continental Europe. Because some invoices are linked to U.S. P&C premium levels, revenue may fluctuate with loss experience, capital capacity, and natural disaster activity — factors outside Verisk's control. The company processes approximately 2,000 regulatory filings annually as a licensed statistical agent in all 50 U.S. states.

Show full overview

Verisk's statistical agent function requires interfacing with state regulators in all 50 states, Guam, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands, reviewing an average of approximately 17,600 legislative actions, 22,000 regulatory actions, and 2,000 court decisions per year to keep policy language and rating information current. Loss of access to data from external sources — including government agencies, insurer contributions, or third-party databases — may materially affect the company's ability to deliver solutions. The 10-K also discloses a specific cloud infrastructure risk: migration toward a smaller number of large infrastructure suppliers means Verisk cannot easily switch cloud providers, so a single vendor disruption may impact multiple products simultaneously.

See also: Industrials · Consulting Services

From Verisk Analytics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. P&C primary insurers (70.0%)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.7
P/E (Fwd)21.4
Mkt Cap$24.4B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn28.2%
ROE
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta0.66
Dividend1.11%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.36bearish
IV50%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. P&C primary insurers70%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 70% of our revenue was derived from solutions provided to U.S. P&C primary insurers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.3
Revenue Growth
3.6
GatesMomentum 1.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)NEWS LEGALA.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $176.67Resistance $226.08

Price Targets

$171
$214
A.Upside+17.8%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! NEWS:LEGAL

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VRSK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $181.67 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. P&C primary insurers (70.0%); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $171.37. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VRSK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $213.94 (+17.8% upside). Prior stop was $171.37. Stop-loss: $171.37.

What are the risks of investing in VRSK?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. P&C primary insurers (70.0%); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is VRSK overvalued or undervalued?

Verisk Analytics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.7 (forward 21.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VRSK?

26 analysts cover VRSK with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $238.

What does Verisk Analytics, Inc. do?Verisk Analytics provides data, analytics, and technology solutions to the global insurance industry as a single...

Verisk Analytics provides data, analytics, and technology solutions to the global insurance industry as a single Insurance segment, serving all top 100 U.S. property and casualty insurers. Revenue comes from annual subscriptions (over 80% of 2025 revenues), linked in part to U.S. P&C premium levels. The company sold its Marketing Solutions unit on December 31, 2025 for $80.0 million to ActiveProspect, completing its pivot to insurance-only.

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