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USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Sell5.8·$110.99+4.23%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United States Lime and Minerals is a high-quality building materials company with 35% net margins, a top-ranked return on equity versus peers, and a Piotroski financial strength score of 8 out of 9 — but 3 consecutive earnings misses and a news modifier pulling the outlook negative reduce the near-term setup quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Growth RatioDeteriorating
  • Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $110.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

$110.99-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.74%
IncomeYield0.23%(5y avg 0.37%)Payout5.29%sustainable
Stop $104.93Target $108.98(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$130.00+17.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $110.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn35.4%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth-3.7%
Beta0.72
Dividend0.23%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish
IV46%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.2
52w Position
5.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 4 days
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $96.27Resistance $111.20

Price Targets

$105
$109
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $110.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $104.93. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $108.98 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $104.93. Stop-loss: $104.93.

What are the risks of investing in USLM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?

United States Lime & Minerals, trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about USLM?

7 analysts cover USLM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $130.

What does United States Lime & Minerals, do?United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950,...

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

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