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URGNUroGen Pharma Ltd.Sell5.5·$38.02+0.21%
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UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.02 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

UroGen Pharma Ltd., a biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of solutions for urothelial and specialty cancers. It offers RTGel, a novel proprietary polymeric biocompatible, reverse thermal gelation hydrogel technology; Mitomycin a generic drug... Read more

$38.02+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#59 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-5.90%
Stop $35.36Target $38.80(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$37.13-2.4%8 analysts
$38.80our TP
$38.02price
$37.13mean
$18
$45

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.02 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)30.9
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA-17.7
Profit Mgn-94.8%
ROE
Rev Growth151.6%
Beta1.57
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV106%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
1.3
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.8
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 30.9xPEG: 0.21
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
90 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.39Resistance $39.59

Price Targets

$35
$39
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is URGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.02 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.36. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the URGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.80 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $35.36. Stop-loss: $35.36.

What are the risks of investing in URGN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is URGN overvalued or undervalued?

UroGen Pharma Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 30.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about URGN?

14 analysts cover URGN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $37.

What does UroGen Pharma Ltd. do?UroGen Pharma Ltd., a biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of solutions for...

UroGen Pharma Ltd., a biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of solutions for urothelial and specialty cancers. It offers RTGel, a novel proprietary polymeric biocompatible, reverse thermal gelation hydrogel technology; Mitomycin a generic drug used off-label as an adjuvant chemotherapy for the treatment of low-grade NMIBC after trans-urethral resection of bladder tumor; Zusduri, a sustained-release formulation of mitomycin for the treatment of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC); and Jelmyto for pyelocalyceal solutions. The company's lead product candidates are UGN-103, which is in phase 3 of clinical trial for intravesical solution; and UGN-104 that is in phase 3 of clinical trial for pyelocalyceal solution designed for the treatment of several forms of non-muscle invasive urothelial cancer that include low-grade upper tract urothelial cancer and low-grade intermediate risk NMIBC. It is also developing UGN-301, UGN-301+UGN 201, and UGN-301+gemcitabine that are in phase 1 of clinical trial for the treatment of high-grade NMIBC. The company has license agreement with Agenus Inc. to develop, make, use, sell, import, and commercialize products of Agenus for the treatment of cancers of the urinary tract via intravesical delivery; and licensing and supply agreement with medac Gesellschaft für klinische Spezialpräparate m.b.H. to develop UGN-103 and UGN-104. UroGen Pharma Ltd. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey.

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