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ULSUL Solutions Inc.Sell5.4·$96.99-0.70%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UL Solutions has beaten earnings estimates in all four consecutive quarters with an average surprise of 17% and converts 120% of net income to free cash flow — a rare cash quality signal — but trades above analyst target resistance with negative asymmetry and geographic concentration risk in its current setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak With Fcf QualityStable
  • Price Above Analyst ResistanceStable
  • Geographic Concentration Outside UsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UL Solutions Inc. (ULS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%).

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%),... Read more

$96.99+3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.15%
IncomeYield0.60%Payout31.10%sustainable
Stop $90.20Target $100.03(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$108.95+12.3%12 analysts
$100.03our TP
$96.99price
$108.95mean
$78
$120

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 47, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)56.4
P/E (Fwd)37.6
Mkt Cap$19.5B
EV/EBITDA28.0
Profit Mgn11.3%
ROE32.0%
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta0.63
Dividend0.60%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C38.39bearish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicrevenue from outside the United States59%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 59.0% of our revenue was generated from customers outside the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company conducts significant business in China, including through its joint venture with CCIC'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    On June 1, 2026, CEO Jennifer F. Scanlon received a special one-time grant of 200,120 performance share units (target value $20 million) under the 2024 LTIP to incentivize continued employment and focus on next-phase growth. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.2
Forward Pe
2.9
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.3
Ps
6.0
Forward P/E: 37.6xPEG: 2.22

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
5.2
Quality Rank
7.7
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $88.60Resistance $102.07

Price Targets

$90
$100
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ULS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 47, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $90.20. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ULS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $100.03 (+3.1% upside). Prior stop was $90.20. Stop-loss: $90.20.

What are the risks of investing in ULS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: revenue from outside the United States (59.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

Is ULS overvalued or undervalued?

UL Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of 56.4 (forward 37.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ULS?

17 analysts cover ULS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $109.

What does UL Solutions Inc. do?UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software &...

UL Solutions provides Testing, Inspection and Certification (TIC) services through Industrial, Consumer, and Software & Advisory segments, serving over 80,000 customers across more than 110 countries. Revenue divides across four service categories — Ongoing Certification (~33%), Non-certification Testing (~30%), Certification Testing (~28%), and Software (~9%) — with approximately 59% of 2025 revenue from outside the United States.

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