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UECUranium Energy Corp.Sell5.3·$11.21+0.18%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uranium Energy Corp carries 39% analyst upside as a pure-play uranium producer with rising on-balance volume and analyst coverage driving the bull case, but the company has missed earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters and burns cash at 406% of revenue, reflecting a pre-revenue development stage business with extreme execution risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn 406 Pct Of RevenueStable
  • Four Quarter Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • Analyst Upside 39 PctImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.21: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.96; Below-average business quality.

UEC is working towards fueling the global demand for carbon-free nuclear energy, a key solution to climate change, and energy source for the low-carbon future.

$11.21+39.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.50%
Stop $10.43Target $15.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$18.03+60.8%9 analysts
$15.68our TP
$11.21price
$18.03mean
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.21: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.96; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 24, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-124.3
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA-41.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-9.0%
Rev Growth
Beta1.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.96bearish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -406% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.0
Bollinger
2.1
Support Resistance
2.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.95Resistance $11.83

Price Targets

$10
$16
A.Upside+39.9%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-24 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UEC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.21: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.96; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $10.43. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UEC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.68 (+39.9% upside). Prior stop was $10.43. Stop-loss: $10.43.

What are the risks of investing in UEC?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is UEC overvalued or undervalued?

Uranium Energy Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -124.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UEC?

13 analysts cover UEC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Uranium Energy Corp. do?UEC is working towards fueling the global demand for carbon-free nuclear energy, a key solution to climate change, and...

UEC is working towards fueling the global demand for carbon-free nuclear energy, a key solution to climate change, and energy source for the low-carbon future.

Related stocks: UROY (Uranium Royalty Corp.) · UUUU (Energy Fuels Inc) · LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.) · CCJ (Cameco Corporation) · ISOU (IsoEnergy Ltd.)
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