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UECUranium Energy Corp.Sell5.5·$9.51-3.26%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uranium Energy Corp carries 39% analyst upside as a pure-play uranium producer with rising on-balance volume and analyst coverage driving the bull case, but the company has missed earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters and burns cash at 406% of revenue, reflecting a pre-revenue development stage business with extreme execution risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn 406 Pct Of RevenueStable
  • Four Quarter Earnings Miss StreakImproving
  • Analyst Upside 39 PctImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.51: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

UEC is working towards fueling the global demand for carbon-free nuclear energy, a key solution to climate change, and energy source for the low-carbon future.

$9.51+64.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#2 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.76%
Stop $8.84Target $15.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.8:1
Analyst target$18.03+89.6%9 analysts
$15.68our TP
$9.51price
$18.03mean
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.51: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — Uranium Energy Corp.

Generated 2026-07-26T09:23:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 24, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-95.1
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA-34.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-9.0%
Rev Growth
Beta1.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.87neutral
IV87%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -406% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 5.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.90Resistance $11.30

Price Targets

$9
$16
A.Upside+64.9%
A.R:R5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-24 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UEC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.51: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.84. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UEC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.68 (+64.9% upside). Prior stop was $8.84. Stop-loss: $8.84.

What are the risks of investing in UEC?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is UEC overvalued or undervalued?

Uranium Energy Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -95.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UEC?

13 analysts cover UEC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Uranium Energy Corp. do?UEC is working towards fueling the global demand for carbon-free nuclear energy, a key solution to climate change, and...

UEC is working towards fueling the global demand for carbon-free nuclear energy, a key solution to climate change, and energy source for the low-carbon future.

Related stocks: CCJ (Cameco Corporation) · URG (Ur Energy Inc) · LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.) · UUUU (Energy Fuels Inc) · ISOU (IsoEnergy Ltd.)
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