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UROYUranium Royalty Corp.Buy Wait4.9·$2.95-4.84%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uranium Royalty Corp carries a 3-of-4 earnings beat streak and an asymmetric 2.78x risk/reward setup heading into its next report, but a forward P/E of 199x flagged as a cyclical trap, an elevated 5.86 put/call ratio, and a still-below-200-MA technical picture temper the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak CatalystStable
  • Cyclical Peak Earnings Decline RiskDeteriorating
  • Elevated Put Call Hedging RiskDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uranium Royalty Corp. (UROY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Earnings in 0 days (2026-07-24). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $2.64. BUY gates pass at $2.95, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $2.64 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain. It engages in the acquisition and assembly of a portfolio of royalties; investment in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and purchase and... Read more

$2.95+29.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#6 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.36%
Entry $2.64(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $2.31Target $3.82(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$4.49+52.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $2.64. BUY gates pass at $2.95, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $2.64 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)103.3
P/E (Fwd)109.2
Mkt Cap$454M
EV/EBITDA126.5
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE1.3%
Rev Growth416400.0%
Beta1.76
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV84%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Forward Pe
1.0
Ps
4.6
Forward P/E: 109.2xExpensive valuation

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.7
Bollinger
1.8
Support Resistance
3.4
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.56Resistance $3.16

Price Targets

$2
$3
$4
A.Upside+29.1%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UROY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $2.64. BUY gates pass at $2.95, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $2.64 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $3.82 (+29.5%), stop $2.31 (−27.7%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UROY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.82 (+29.1% upside). Target $3.82 (+29.5%), stop $2.31 (−27.7%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $2.31.

Is UROY overvalued or undervalued?

Uranium Royalty Corp. trades at a P/E of 103.3 (forward 109.2). TrendMatrix value score: 1.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about UROY?

8 analysts cover UROY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Uranium Royalty Corp. do?Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain....

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain. It engages in the acquisition and assembly of a portfolio of royalties; investment in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and purchase and sale of physical uranium. The company also owns and manages a portfolio of geographically diversified uranium interests. Uranium Royalty Corp. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: URG (Ur Energy Inc) · LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.) · UUUU (Energy Fuels Inc) · ISOU (IsoEnergy Ltd.) · DNN (Denison Mines Corp)
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