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UROYUranium Royalty Corp.Hold6.5·$3.99
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Uranium Royalty Corp carries a 3-of-4 earnings beat streak and an asymmetric 2.78x risk/reward setup heading into its next report, but a forward P/E of 199x flagged as a cyclical trap, an elevated 5.86 put/call ratio, and a still-below-200-MA technical picture temper the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Catalyst→Stable
  • Cyclical Peak Earnings Decline Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Elevated Put Call Hedging Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uranium Royalty Corp. (UROY) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~97% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a uranium and land royalty company in Canada. It engages in acquiring and assembling a portfolio of royalties; investing in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and the purchase and sale of physical uranium. The company was... Read more

$3.99-10.9% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#1 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.75%
Stop $3.74Target $4.62(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$4.18+4.9%3 analysts
$4.62our TP
$3.99price
$4.18mean
$4
$5

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~97% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Dec 11, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~97% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.0
P/E (Fwd)424.7
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA34.2
Profit Mgn25.9%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth112.9%
Beta1.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV128%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.86Resistance $4.71

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside-10.9%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 425x vs trail 11x (38.6x)
! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-11 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UROY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~97% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $4.62 (+15.8%), stop $3.74 (−6.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.5/10, high confidence.

What is the UROY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.62 (-10.9% upside). Target $4.62 (+15.8%), stop $3.74 (−6.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $3.74.

What are the risks of investing in UROY?

Earnings expected to decline ~97% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is UROY overvalued or undervalued?

Uranium Royalty Corp. trades at a P/E of 11.0 (forward 424.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UROY?

8 analysts cover UROY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Uranium Royalty Corp. do?Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a uranium and land royalty company in Canada. It engages in acquiring and assembling...

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a uranium and land royalty company in Canada. It engages in acquiring and assembling a portfolio of royalties; investing in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and the purchase and sale of physical uranium. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Lakewood, Colorado.

Related stocks: URG (Ur Energy Inc) · LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.) · UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) · UUUU (Energy Fuels Inc) · ISOU (IsoEnergy Ltd.)
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