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DNNDenison Mines CorpSell4.1·$2.11
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Denison Mines is a development-stage uranium company trading above its 200-day moving average with rising volume accumulation and bullish options positioning (put/call 0.231) that suggest speculative appetite for a development catalyst, but faces significant headwinds from deeply negative free cash flow, declining revenue, and below-minimum quality metrics that collectively make this a highly speculative setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Technical Momentum Constructive↓Deteriorating
  • Quality Far Below Investment Floor→Stable
  • Declining Revenue Trajectory→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Denison Mines Corp (DNN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.11: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 7.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Denison Mines Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of uranium bearing properties in Canada. It holds 95% interest in its flagship project Wheeler River uranium project located in the Athabasca Basin region in northern Saskatchewan. The company was... Read more

$2.11+91.0% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#9 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-5.11%
Stop $1.96Analyst target $4.03(−15% haircut)A.R:R 7.5:1
Analyst consensus$4.74+124.7%2 analysts with price targets
$4.03Analyst target
$2.11price
$4.74mean
$6

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.11: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 7.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-53.2
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA-36.6
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-66.8%
Rev Growth-43.6%
Beta1.78
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -2387% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.7
Rsi
3.5
Macd
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 7.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.01Resistance $2.55

Price Targets

$2
$4
A.Upside+91.0%
A.R:R7.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DNN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.11: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 7.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $1.96. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DNN stock price target?

Analyst target: $4.03 (+91.0% upside). Prior stop was $1.96. Stop-loss: $1.96.

What are the risks of investing in DNN?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is DNN overvalued or undervalued?

Denison Mines Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -53.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DNN?

20 analysts rate DNN, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $5.

What does Denison Mines Corp do?Denison Mines Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of uranium bearing properties in Canada....

Denison Mines Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of uranium bearing properties in Canada. It holds 95% interest in its flagship project Wheeler River uranium project located in the Athabasca Basin region in northern Saskatchewan. The company was formerly known as International Uranium Corporation and changed its name to Denison Mines Corp. in December 2006. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: UROY (Uranium Royalty Corp.) · URG (Ur Energy Inc) · UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) · LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.) · UUUU (Energy Fuels Inc)
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