Skip to main content

Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $173.50: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Centrus Energy supplies nuclear fuel components (LEU) to commercial utilities and provides uranium enrichment technical services including HALEU production for the U.S. government. Its LEU segment (77% of revenues) holds contracts with utilities through 2040 for SWU delivery;... Read more

$173.50+40.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#3 of 6 Uranium
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-0.32%
Stop $165.57Target $242.42(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$278.64+60.6%14 analysts
$242.42our TP
$173.50price
$278.64mean
$390

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $173.50: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Centrus Energy Corp.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX
Concentration risk — Product: LEU segment (77.0%)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)62.9
P/E (Fwd)43.6
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA79.3
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta1.44
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.45bullish
IV79%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierTENEX
    10-K Item 1: 'We are currently dependent on purchases from suppliers to meet our obligations to customers, including SWU purchases from the Russian government entity, TENEX'
  • HIGHProductLEU segment77%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our LEU segment accounted for approximately 77% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
3.4
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.5
Gross Margin
1.1
Roe
4.1
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Net Margin
6.7
Current Ratio
7.3
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -18% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $170.69Resistance $235.00

Price Targets

$166
$242
A.Upside+39.7%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -53.7%), High leverage (D/E 3.2), Material insider selling (7 sells, 0.06% of cap)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $173.50: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $165.57. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $242.42 (+40.2% upside). Prior stop was $165.57. Stop-loss: $165.57.

What are the risks of investing in LEU?

Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX; Concentration risk — Product: LEU segment (77.0%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is LEU overvalued or undervalued?

Centrus Energy Corp. trades at a P/E of 62.9 (forward 43.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEU?

20 analysts cover LEU with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $279.

What does Centrus Energy Corp. do?Centrus Energy supplies nuclear fuel components (LEU) to commercial utilities and provides uranium enrichment technical...

Centrus Energy supplies nuclear fuel components (LEU) to commercial utilities and provides uranium enrichment technical services including HALEU production for the U.S. government. Its LEU segment (77% of revenues) holds contracts with utilities through 2040 for SWU delivery; Technical Solutions operates the only U.S. active HALEU enrichment cascade in Piketon, Ohio.

Related stocks: UUUU (Energy Fuels Inc) · UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) · NXE (Nexgen Energy Ltd.) · DNN (Denison Mines Corp)