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Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $203.38, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX.

Centrus Energy supplies low-enriched uranium (LEU) and separative work units (SWU) to commercial nuclear utilities globally through its LEU segment, and produces HALEU for advanced reactors and technical services via its Technical Solutions segment. Revenue comes primarily from... Read more

$203.38+18.6% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#3 of 6 Uranium
Stop $189.02Target $241.06(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$277.08+36.2%13 analysts
$241.06our TP
$203.38price
$277.08mean
$137
$390

Sell if holding. At $203.38, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.2
P/E (Fwd)43.7
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA56.9
Profit Mgn17.3%
ROE16.8%
Rev Growth-3.6%
Beta1.36
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV108%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierTENEX
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are currently dependent on purchases from suppliers to meet our obligations to customers, including SWU purchases from the Russian government entity, TENEX.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.6
Earnings Growth
4.6
Declining revenue: -4%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
3.8
Support Resistance
4.2
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $165.67Resistance $230.49

Price Targets

$189
$241
A.Upside+18.5%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $203.38, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Prior stop was $189.02. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the LEU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $241.06 (+18.6% upside). Prior stop was $189.02. Stop-loss: $189.02.

What are the risks of investing in LEU?

Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is LEU overvalued or undervalued?

Centrus Energy Corp. trades at a P/E of 49.2 (forward 43.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEU?

20 analysts cover LEU with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $277.

What does Centrus Energy Corp. do?Centrus Energy supplies low-enriched uranium (LEU) and separative work units (SWU) to commercial nuclear utilities...

Centrus Energy supplies low-enriched uranium (LEU) and separative work units (SWU) to commercial nuclear utilities globally through its LEU segment, and produces HALEU for advanced reactors and technical services via its Technical Solutions segment. Revenue comes primarily from long-term LEU sales contracts backed by a global supplier network. Its AC100M centrifuge is the only U.S. deployment-ready uranium enrichment technology.

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