Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Energy · Uranium
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $175.69: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Centrus Energy supplies nuclear fuel components (LEU) to commercial utilities and provides uranium enrichment technical services including HALEU production for the U.S. government. Its LEU segment (77% of revenues) holds contracts with utilities through 2040 for SWU delivery;... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $175.69: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Centrus Energy Corp.
About Centrus Energy Corp.
Centrus Energy Corp. generated approximately 77% of its 2025 revenue from the LEU segment, which sources and delivers uranium enrichment (measured in separative work units, or SWU) to commercial nuclear power utilities under medium- and long-term contracts extending to 2040. Total backlog stood at $3.8 billion as of December 31, 2025. The company operates a HALEU enrichment facility in Piketon, Ohio and a centrifuge manufacturing facility in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, with plans announced in January 2026 to invest more than $560 million over several years to transition Oak Ridge to a high-rate manufacturing plant.
Centrus earns revenue in two ways. The LEU segment sells SWU contained in LEU, natural uranium hexafluoride, and occasionally full LEU bundles to domestic and international nuclear utilities under fixed-commitment contracts, with SWU pricing formulas referencing market indicators. The largest supplier of SWU is TENEX (a Rosatom subsidiary), followed by the French government-owned company Orano. The Technical Solutions segment earns cost-plus-incentive-fee revenue from the U.S. Department of Energy for operating a HALEU cascade in Piketon, Ohio; Phase 2 of the HALEU Operation Contract reached a funded value of $170.1 million by December 31, 2025. Centrus is also pursuing large-scale LEU enrichment capacity at Piketon to fill $2.3 billion in contingent LEU sales commitments, subject to securing public and private investment.
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Supply continuity from TENEX under the TENEX Supply Contract through 2028 is the company's primary operational constraint. The Russian Decree, effective through December 31, 2027, requires TENEX to obtain a specific export license for each LEU shipment to the U.S.; three licenses have been received to date but further issuance is uncertain. The Import Ban Act simultaneously restricts Russian LEU imports without DOE waivers, which are not guaranteed to be granted in a required timeframe. If TENEX cannot export or the DOE declines to grant further waivers, Centrus would need to replace supply from sources that may not be available or affordable, which may impact the company's ability to meet customer delivery obligations and could weigh on financial results.
From Centrus Energy Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Centrus Energy Corp.
Latest news
- NEWS Better nuclear energy stock: Cameco (CCJ) vs. Centrus Energy (LEU) - MSN — MSN neutral
- NEWS Centrus Energy (NYSE:LEU) Trading Down 6.6% - Time to Sell? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Centrus Energy (LEU) Is Up 7.3% After DOE Enrichment Award and Q1 Outlook Update - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Centrus Energy (LEU) Is Up 7.3% After US$900m DOE HALEU Award And Cut Estimates – Has The Bull Case Changed? - simplywal — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) beats Q1 earnings and revenue estimates - MSN — MSN positive
Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierTENEX10-K Item 1: 'We are currently dependent on purchases from suppliers to meet our obligations to customers, including SWU purchases from the Russian government entity, TENEX'
- HIGHProductLEU segment77%10-K Item 1: 'Our LEU segment accounted for approximately 77% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $175.69: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $162.99. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $242.42 (+38.3% upside). Prior stop was $162.99. Stop-loss: $162.99.
Concentration risk — Supplier: TENEX; Concentration risk — Product: LEU segment (77.0%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
Centrus Energy Corp. trades at a P/E of 59.1 (forward 41.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover LEU with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $279.
What does Centrus Energy Corp. do?Centrus Energy supplies nuclear fuel components (LEU) to commercial utilities and provides uranium enrichment technical...
Centrus Energy supplies nuclear fuel components (LEU) to commercial utilities and provides uranium enrichment technical services including HALEU production for the U.S. government. Its LEU segment (77% of revenues) holds contracts with utilities through 2040 for SWU delivery; Technical Solutions operates the only U.S. active HALEU enrichment cascade in Piketon, Ohio.