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TWTradeweb Markets Inc.Hold6.2·$102.79+1.28%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Tradeweb Markets combines best-in-class 40% net margins, a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, and 21% revenue growth with a quality score of 8.2 that is among the highest in the batch, but a put/call ratio of 7.42 and a below-trend price signal caution on near-term timing.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Put Call RatioStable
  • Best In Class Margins QualityStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Revenue GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $102.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Tradeweb Markets builds and operates electronic trading platforms for rates, credit, equities, and money markets, serving more than 3,000 clients in over 85 countries. Revenue comes from transaction fees and data subscriptions, with credit asset class revenues reaching $488.0... Read more

$102.79+14.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#9 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.54%(5y avg 0.40%)Payout12.35%sustainable
Stop $96.13Target $117.14(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$134.64+31.0%14 analysts
$117.14our TP
$102.79price
$134.64mean
$197

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $102.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Tradeweb Markets Inc.

About Tradeweb Markets Inc.

Tradeweb Markets posted $488.0 million in credit asset class revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025, part of a platform that processed $2.6 trillion in average daily volume — up 213% from $0.8 trillion in 2020. The company serves more than 3,000 clients across 85 countries spanning institutional, wholesale, retail, and corporate treasury sectors. LSEG is Tradeweb's controlling shareholder and simultaneously holds a market data distribution agreement through which it distributes Tradeweb pricing data via its flagship financial platforms.

Tradeweb generates revenue through transaction fees and subscription charges across rates, credit, equities, and money markets, with credit revenues having grown from a niche product to $488.0 million annually over more than a decade since launch. The institutional client sector is the largest, comprising asset managers, hedge funds, insurance companies, and central banks that trade primarily through Tradeweb's D2C protocols including RFQ, portfolio trading, and AiEX automated execution. Dealer clients are foundational to the marketplace model: without dealers willing to provide two-way liquidity, the D2C protocols fail. Competitors include Bloomberg and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), each of which also offers data and analytics to institutional market participants and holds relationships with the vast majority of institutional, wholesale, and retail clients. The August 2024 acquisition of Institutional Cash Distributors broadened the company's offering to corporate treasury clients trading short-term instruments such as money market funds.

Show full overview

Tradeweb's relationship with LSEG spans ownership control and a commercial market data license, creating a dual dependency that the 10-K flags as a governance risk where LSEG's interests may conflict with those of other stockholders. LSEG controls Tradeweb under Nasdaq 'controlled company' status, which exempts it from certain board independence requirements. The market data license agreement with LSEG affiliates distributes Tradeweb pricing data through LSEG platforms; the filing also identifies potential expansion of this agreement as a key data monetization path, meaning LSEG's strategic priorities could shape Tradeweb's data distribution trajectory.

See also: Financial Services · Capital Markets

From Tradeweb Markets Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.02% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.4
P/E (Fwd)22.3
Mkt Cap$22.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn40.3%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta0.62
Dividend0.54%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartydealer clients
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on our dealer clients to support our marketplaces by transacting with our other institutional, wholesale and retail clients'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
2.2
52w Position
4.0
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $91.42Resistance $104.73

Price Targets

$96
$117
A.Upside+14.0%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $102.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $117.14 (+14.0%), stop $96.13 (−6.9%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.14 (+14.0% upside). Target $117.14 (+14.0%), stop $96.13 (−6.9%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $96.13.

What are the risks of investing in TW?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.02% of cap).

Is TW overvalued or undervalued?

Tradeweb Markets Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.4 (forward 22.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TW?

22 analysts cover TW with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $135.

What does Tradeweb Markets Inc. do?Tradeweb Markets builds and operates electronic trading platforms for rates, credit, equities, and money markets,...

Tradeweb Markets builds and operates electronic trading platforms for rates, credit, equities, and money markets, serving more than 3,000 clients in over 85 countries. Revenue comes from transaction fees and data subscriptions, with credit asset class revenues reaching $488.0 million for 2025 and average daily volume of $2.6 trillion. LSEG is the controlling shareholder.

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