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TOIThe Oncology Institute, Inc.Sell6.1·$5.28-4.17%
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The Oncology Institute, Inc. (TOI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.28: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

The Oncology Institute, Inc., an oncology company, provides various oncology services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Specialty pharmacy, Patient Services, and Clinical Trials & Other. The company offers physician services, in-house infusion, in-house... Read more

$5.28+24.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 36 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-2.90%
Stop $4.91Target $6.59(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$7.75+46.8%4 analysts
$6.59our TP
$5.28price
$7.75mean
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.28: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.8%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.04% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-33.0
Mkt Cap$528M
EV/EBITDA-23.3
Profit Mgn-8.0%
ROE
Rev Growth41.2%
Beta0.39
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV114%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -8.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
5.4
Moat
5.5
Cash-burning: FCF -3% of revenueWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.23Resistance $5.82

Price Targets

$5
$7
A.Upside+24.8%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.8%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.04% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TOI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.28: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $4.91. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TOI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.59 (+24.8% upside). Prior stop was $4.91. Stop-loss: $4.91.

What are the risks of investing in TOI?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.8%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.04% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is TOI overvalued or undervalued?

The Oncology Institute, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -33.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TOI?

8 analysts cover TOI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $8.

What does The Oncology Institute, Inc. do?The Oncology Institute, Inc., an oncology company, provides various oncology services in the United States. It operates...

The Oncology Institute, Inc., an oncology company, provides various oncology services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Specialty pharmacy, Patient Services, and Clinical Trials & Other. The company offers physician services, in-house infusion, in-house specialty pharmacy, clinical trials, radiation therapy, and outpatient blood product transfusion services, as well as educational seminars, support groups, counseling services, and 24/7 patient assistance and support services. It also manages clinical trials and palliative care programs; operates combined community clinics and infusion suites; and operates a specialty pharmacy that includes both in-office and mail-order dispensing for complementary oral and self-injectable medications taken by patients concurrent with their in-office cancer therapies. It serves adult and senior cancer patients. The Oncology Institute, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Cerritos, California.

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