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TNKTeekay Tankers Ltd.Buy Wait7.6·$85.13+1.90%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Teekay Tankers combines strong valuation metrics — forward price-to-earnings of 9.4x and a PEG of 0.09 — with 24% year-over-year earnings growth and best-in-class margins of 43%, placing it among the top-ranked peers on both value and quality dimensions. The primary constraint is that the stock has already reached analyst price targets, leaving minimal near-term upside despite an otherwise compelling fundamental profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Growth And MarginsStable
  • Attractive Valuation With Low PegDeteriorating
  • Strong Piotroski And Earnings StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Wait for pullback to $70.42. BUY gates pass at $85.13, but cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $70.42 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in Bermuda and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Tankers and Marine Servies. It offers voyage and time charter services; offshore ship-to-ship... Read more

$85.13-8.0% A.UpsideScore 7.6/10#3 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.75%
IncomeYield1.20%(5y avg 6.34%)Payout5.89%sustainable
Entry $70.42(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $64.17Target $97.90(default +15%)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$90.00+5.7%5 analysts
$97.90our TP
$85.13price
$90.00mean
$78
$98

Wait for pullback to $70.42. BUY gates pass at $85.13, but cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $70.42 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-8.0% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 7.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.6/10
High-quality business
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-1.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.8
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA3.4
Profit Mgn51.3%
ROE28.0%
Rev Growth63.0%
Beta-0.23
Dividend1.20%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV123%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.16Resistance $86.20

Price Targets

$64
$70
$98
A.Upside-8.0%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.7%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TNK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $70.42. BUY gates pass at $85.13, but cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $70.42 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-8.0% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $97.90 (+15.0%), stop $64.17 (−32.7%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 7.6/10, high confidence.

What is the TNK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.90 (-8.0% upside). Target $97.90 (+15.0%), stop $64.17 (−32.7%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $64.17.

What are the risks of investing in TNK?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-1.1% away).

Is TNK overvalued or undervalued?

Teekay Tankers Ltd. trades at a P/E of 4.8 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TNK?

11 analysts cover TNK with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Teekay Tankers Ltd. do?Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in...

Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in Bermuda and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Tankers and Marine Servies. It offers voyage and time charter services; offshore ship-to-ship transfer of commodities primarily crude oil and refined oil products; and tanker commercial and technical management services. In addition, the company is involved in the vessels management, procurement, and equipment rental businesses. It serves energy and utility companies, oil traders, oil consumers and petroleum product producers, government agencies, and various other entities that depend upon marine transportation. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · LPG (Dorian LPG Ltd.)
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