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TIMBTIM S.A.Sell6.0·$17.35+0.23%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TIM S.A. trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 10.2x with a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9 and 16% operating margins, but thin upside of only 4.3% and low asymmetry keep new entry unattractive at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Telecom ValuationStable
  • Strong Margin Quality ProfileStable
  • Rising Obv AccumulationImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TIM S.A. (TIMB) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local, national, and international long-distance modes, as well as personal mobile and multimedia communication services. The company is based in Rio de Janeiro,... Read more

$17.35+22.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 44 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield53.37%
IncomeYield9.24%(5y avg 5.44%)Payout89.44%at-risk
Stop $16.63Target $21.31(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$24.49+41.2%8 analysts
$21.31our TP
$17.35price
$24.49mean
$29

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 12, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Outperforming peers
Margin of safety: 34%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.0
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$8.3B
EV/EBITDA1.8
Profit Mgn15.8%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta0.11
Dividend9.24%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV22%low
Max Pain$25+44.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
3.9
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
12 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.14Resistance $22.39

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside+22.8%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TIMB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 12, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $16.63. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TIMB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.31 (+22.8% upside). Prior stop was $16.63. Stop-loss: $16.63.

What are the risks of investing in TIMB?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth; Below 200-day MA.

Is TIMB overvalued or undervalued?

TIM S.A. trades at a P/E of 10.0 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TIMB?

20 analysts cover TIMB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $24.

What does TIM S.A. do?TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local,...

TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local, national, and international long-distance modes, as well as personal mobile and multimedia communication services. The company is based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. TIM S.A. is a subsidiary of TIM Brasil Serviços e Participações S.A.

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