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TIMBTIM S.A.Buy Wait6.1·$21.30+1.19%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TIM S.A. trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 10.2x with a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9 and 16% operating margins, but thin upside of only 4.3% and low asymmetry keep new entry unattractive at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Telecom ValuationImproving
  • Strong Margin Quality ProfileStable
  • Rising Obv AccumulationDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TIM S.A. (TIMB) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings in 2 days (2026-07-27). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $20.05. At $21.30 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.05 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 3.7%.

TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local, national, and international long-distance modes, as well as personal mobile and multimedia communication services. The company is based in Rio de Janeiro,... Read more

$21.30+3.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 45 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield44.62%
IncomeYield7.05%(5y avg 5.36%)Payout87.43%at-risk
Entry $20.05(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $18.96Target $22.09(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$25.39+19.2%8 analysts
$22.09our TP
$21.30price
$25.39mean
$29

Wait for pullback to $20.05. At $21.30 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.05 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 3.7%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.7%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.0
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA1.9
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE17.7%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta0.11
Dividend7.05%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
4.1
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.92Resistance $22.72

Price Targets

$19
$20
$22
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TIMB stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $20.05. At $21.30 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.05 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 3.7%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $22.09 (+3.7%), stop $18.96 (−12.3%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TIMB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.09 (+3.7% upside). Target $22.09 (+3.7%), stop $18.96 (−12.3%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $18.96.

What are the risks of investing in TIMB?

Thin upside margin: 3.7%.

Is TIMB overvalued or undervalued?

TIM S.A. trades at a P/E of 12.0 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TIMB?

20 analysts cover TIMB with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $25.

What does TIM S.A. do?TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local,...

TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local, national, and international long-distance modes, as well as personal mobile and multimedia communication services. The company is based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. TIM S.A. is a subsidiary of TIM Brasil Serviços e Participações S.A.

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