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TIGOMillicom International CellularSell6.0·$96.43+0.54%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Millicom International Cellular delivers elite financial quality — 37% return on equity, 19% net margins, 146% free-cash-flow conversion, and a Rule of 40 score of 73 — with 45% revenue growth and an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 13.7x, but forward earnings estimates are falling 30.3% in 30 days and the stock already sits 19.1% above its analyst-implied intrinsic value.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Financial Quality MetricsStable
  • Revenue Growth Vs Declining EstimatesDeteriorating
  • Price Above Intrinsic Value TargetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Millicom International Cellular (TIGO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityShortHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.43 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Millicom International Cellular S.A. engages in the provision cable and mobile services in Latin America. The company offers mobile services, including mobile data and voice, and short message services; and mobile financial services, such as payments, money transfers,... Read more

$96.43-9.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 42 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield11.81%
IncomeYield3.13%(5y avg 4.76%)Payout74.92%
Stop $88.69Target $109.05(default +15%)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$98.39+2.0%8 analysts
$109.05our TP
$96.43price
$98.39mean
$60
$132

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.43 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.0
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$15.9B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE21.7%
Rev Growth59.4%
Beta0.90
Dividend3.13%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.52bullish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$135+40.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $86.11Resistance $97.99

Price Targets

$89
$109
A.Upside-9.7%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TIGO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.43 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $88.69. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the TIGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $109.05 (-9.7% upside). Prior stop was $88.69. Stop-loss: $88.69.

What are the risks of investing in TIGO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5.

Is TIGO overvalued or undervalued?

Millicom International Cellular trades at a P/E of 24.0 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TIGO?

13 analysts cover TIGO with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Millicom International Cellular do?Millicom International Cellular S.A. engages in the provision cable and mobile services in Latin America. The company...

Millicom International Cellular S.A. engages in the provision cable and mobile services in Latin America. The company offers mobile services, including mobile data and voice, and short message services; and mobile financial services, such as payments, money transfers, international remittances, savings, real-time loans, and micro-insurance. In addition, the company provides fixed services, including broadband, fixed voice, and pay-TV; and fixed-voice and data telecommunications services, managed services, cloud and security solutions, and value-added services; and tower infrastructure and services. The company serves small, medium, and large businesses, as well as residential consumers and governmental entities. It markets its products and services under the Tigo and Tigo Business brands. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

Related stocks: AD (Array Digital Infrastructure, I) · KYIV (Kyivstar Group Ltd.) · VIV (Telefonica Brasil S.A.) · AMX (America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.) · VEON (VEON Ltd.)
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