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TELTE Connectivity plcBuy Wait6.2·$216.82+5.78%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TE Connectivity earns a wide economic moat designation, holds the maximum Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9, has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters, and trades at an attractive price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.99 — though the stock is below its 200-day moving average and current upside to the analyst target is limited to approximately 9.7%.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Perfect Piotroski Score And BeatsStable
  • Positive Analyst Sentiment With UpsideImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TE Connectivity plc (TEL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Wait for pullback to $194.34. At $216.82 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $194.34 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-day MA.

TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation Solutions (54% of FY2025 net sales, predominantly automotive) and Industrial Solutions (46%, spanning data networks, automation, aerospace, energy, and medical).... Read more

$216.82+2.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#9 of 28 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.93%
IncomeYield1.45%(5y avg 1.57%)Payout28.50%sustainable
Entry $194.34(support + ATR (held))Stop $177.38Target $222.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$246.79+13.8%19 analysts
$222.11our TP
$216.82price
$246.79mean
$306

Wait for pullback to $194.34. At $216.82 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $194.34 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202685d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.83)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.1
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$59.4B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn15.6%
ROE23.3%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta1.16
Dividend1.45%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.16bearish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerautomotive end market41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 41% of our net sales for fiscal 2025 were to customers in the automotive end market'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 25% of our net sales in fiscal 2025 were made to customers in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.2
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $190.27Resistance $217.44

Price Targets

$177
$194
$222
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $194.34. At $216.82 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $194.34 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $222.11 (+2.4%), stop $177.38 (−22.2%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $222.11 (+2.4% upside). Target $222.11 (+2.4%), stop $177.38 (−22.2%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $177.38.

What are the risks of investing in TEL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-day MA.

Is TEL overvalued or undervalued?

TE Connectivity plc trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TEL?

25 analysts cover TEL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $247.

What does TE Connectivity plc do?TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation...

TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation Solutions (54% of FY2025 net sales, predominantly automotive) and Industrial Solutions (46%, spanning data networks, automation, aerospace, energy, and medical). The company sells into approximately 130 countries, employs approximately 93,000 people, and generates about 75% of net sales through direct channels.

Related stocks: APH (Amphenol Corporation) · FN (Fabrinet) · CLS (Celestica, Inc.) · SANM (Sanmina Corporation) · PLXS (Plexus Corp.)
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