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TELTE Connectivity plcBuy Wait6.0·$202.41-0.55%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TE Connectivity earns a wide economic moat designation, holds the maximum Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9, has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters, and trades at an attractive price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.99 — though the stock is below its 200-day moving average and current upside to the analyst target is limited to approximately 9.7%.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Perfect Piotroski Score And BeatsStable
  • Positive Analyst Sentiment With UpsideImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TE Connectivity plc (TEL) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

Buy WaitQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Wait for pullback to $194.18. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $202.41. Engine's entry $194.18 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Negative momentum.

TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation Solutions (54% of FY2025 net sales, predominantly automotive) and Industrial Solutions (46%, spanning data networks, automation, aerospace, energy, and medical).... Read more

$202.41+9.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 28 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.96%
IncomeYield1.53%(5y avg 1.57%)Payout28.50%sustainable
Entry $194.18(support + ATR (held))Stop $183.09Target $222.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$246.79+21.9%19 analysts
$222.11our TP
$202.41price
$246.79mean
$306

Wait for pullback to $194.18. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $202.41. Engine's entry $194.18 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-24
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.7%
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.9
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$59.0B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn15.6%
ROE23.3%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta1.16
Dividend1.53%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV39%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerautomotive end market41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 41% of our net sales for fiscal 2025 were to customers in the automotive end market'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 25% of our net sales in fiscal 2025 were made to customers in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.9
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $198.87Resistance $221.33

Price Targets

$183
$194
$222
A.Upside+9.7%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 1.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $194.18. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $202.41. Engine's entry $194.18 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $222.11 (+9.7%), stop $183.09 (−10.6%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $222.11 (+9.7% upside). Target $222.11 (+9.7%), stop $183.09 (−10.6%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $183.09.

What are the risks of investing in TEL?

Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TEL overvalued or undervalued?

TE Connectivity plc trades at a P/E of 19.9 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TEL?

25 analysts cover TEL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $247.

What does TE Connectivity plc do?TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation...

TE Connectivity manufactures electronic connectors, sensors, and cable products through two segments: Transportation Solutions (54% of FY2025 net sales, predominantly automotive) and Industrial Solutions (46%, spanning data networks, automation, aerospace, energy, and medical). The company sells into approximately 130 countries, employs approximately 93,000 people, and generates about 75% of net sales through direct channels.

Related stocks: APH (Amphenol Corporation) · CLS (Celestica, Inc.) · FN (Fabrinet) · VICR (Vicor Corporation) · PLXS (Plexus Corp.)
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