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TECKTeck Resources LtdHold6.3·$60.19+0.57%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Teck Resources delivered 72% revenue growth year-over-year, has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters with an average positive surprise of 48%, and holds a maximum Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9 — though the stock trades 38.6% above the analyst consensus price target, creating significant asymmetry risk to the downside.

Thesis pillars

  • Massive Revenue Growth CycleStable
  • Perfect Financial Health ScoreImproving
  • Price Far Above Analyst TargetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Teck Resources Ltd (TECK) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Teck Resources Limited engages in research, exploration, development, processing, smelting, refining, and reclamation of mineral properties in Asia, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through Copper and Zinc segments. The company offers copper, zinc, and lead concentrates, as... Read more

$60.19-25.4% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#3 of 7 Copper
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.88%
IncomeYield0.59%(5y avg 0.99%)Payout13.26%sustainable
Stop $55.98Target $60.49(resistance)A.R:R -2.3:1
Analyst target$52.84-12.2%4 analysts
$60.49our TP
$60.19price
$52.84mean
$36
$68

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202689d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.5
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$29.5B
EV/EBITDA5.2
Profit Mgn17.9%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth78.2%
Beta1.59
Dividend0.59%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C6.74bearish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.9
Bollinger
2.5
52w Position
6.9
GatesA.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $53.64Resistance $61.72

Price Targets

$56
$60
A.Upside-25.4%
A.R:R-2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TECK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $60.49 (+0.5%), stop $55.98 (−7.5%), A.R:R -2.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TECK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.49 (-25.4% upside). Target $60.49 (+0.5%), stop $55.98 (−7.5%), A.R:R -2.3:1. Stop-loss: $55.98.

What are the risks of investing in TECK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TECK overvalued or undervalued?

Teck Resources Ltd trades at a P/E of 22.5 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TECK?

17 analysts cover TECK with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Teck Resources Ltd do?Teck Resources Limited engages in research, exploration, development, processing, smelting, refining, and reclamation...

Teck Resources Limited engages in research, exploration, development, processing, smelting, refining, and reclamation of mineral properties in Asia, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through Copper and Zinc segments. The company offers copper, zinc, and lead concentrates, as well as refined zinc, lead, and silver. It also produces lead, precious metals, molybdenum, fertilizers, and other metals; and sells refined metals or concentrates. In addition, it explores for gold. The company was formerly known as Teck Cominco Limited and changed its name to Teck Resources Limited in April 2009. Teck Resources Limited was founded in 1913 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: RIO (Rio Tinto Plc) · BHP (BHP Group Limited) · VALE (VALE S.A.) · USAR (USA Rare Earth, Inc.) · MP (MP Materials Corp.)
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