Skip to main content
TBNTamboran Resources CorporationSell5.0·$30.93-0.55%
Open full analysis

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.93: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Tamboran Resources Corporation, a natural gas company, engages in developing unconventional gas resources in the northern territory of Australia. Its assets include a 25% non-operated working interest in EP 161; a 38.75% working interest in EPs 76, 98, and 117; and a 100%... Read more

$30.93+59.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#36 of 48 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-12.82%
Stop $29.62Target $49.44(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst target$56.83+83.7%6 analysts
$49.44our TP
$30.93price
$56.83mean
$66

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.93: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Tamboran Resources Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:26Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 24, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-43.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -8.7%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-58.9
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA-33.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-8.4%
Rev Growth
Beta0.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
7.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.54Resistance $40.37

Price Targets

$30
$49
A.Upside+59.8%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-43.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -8.7%)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-24 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TBN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.93: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.62. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TBN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.44 (+59.8% upside). Prior stop was $29.62. Stop-loss: $29.62.

What are the risks of investing in TBN?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-43.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -8.7%).

Is TBN overvalued or undervalued?

Tamboran Resources Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -58.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TBN?

9 analysts cover TBN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Tamboran Resources Corporation do?Tamboran Resources Corporation, a natural gas company, engages in developing unconventional gas resources in the...

Tamboran Resources Corporation, a natural gas company, engages in developing unconventional gas resources in the northern territory of Australia. Its assets include a 25% non-operated working interest in EP 161; a 38.75% working interest in EPs 76, 98, and 117; and a 100% working interest in EPs 136 and 143, as well as EP (A) 197, located in the Betaloo Basin. Tamboran Resources Corporation was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

Related stocks: GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) · DMLP (Dorchester Minerals, L.P.) · CNX (CNX Resources Corporation) · SM (SM Energy Company) · VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.)
Home Stocks TBN

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga3d agoEarnings