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SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc.Sell5.0·$7.82+0.51%
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SunCoke Energy, Inc. (SXC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Coking Coal

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.82: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates through Domestic Coke and Industrial Services segments. The company offers blast furnace and foundry coke products. It also provides export and domestic... Read more

$7.82+3.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#2 of 5 Coking Coal
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.03%
IncomeYield6.14%(5y avg 4.32%)Payout64.00%
Stop $7.45Target $8.07(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$9.50+21.5%2 analysts
$8.07our TP
$7.82price
$9.50mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.82: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (4 sells, 4.41% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-41.2
Mkt Cap$664M
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn-3.5%
ROE-9.3%
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta0.97
Dividend6.14%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C5.00bearish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.4
Roa
0.8
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.5
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.8
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 18)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 614.0%

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.68Resistance $9.71

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (4 sells, 4.41% of cap), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SXC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.82: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.45. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SXC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.07 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $7.45. Stop-loss: $7.45.

What are the risks of investing in SXC?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (4 sells, 4.41% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is SXC overvalued or undervalued?

SunCoke Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -41.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SXC?

6 analysts cover SXC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $10.

What does SunCoke Energy, Inc. do?SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates...

SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates through Domestic Coke and Industrial Services segments. The company offers blast furnace and foundry coke products. It also provides export and domestic material handling and/or mixing services to coke, coal, steel, power/electric utility, and other bulk and manufacturing-based customers; and on-site scrap and slag handling and processing services to steel producers. In addition, the company owns and operates cokemaking facilities and logistics terminals. Further, it offers metal recovery and scrap processing services comprising metallic recovery, dropballing, scrap cutting and cleaning, scrap upgrading and shearing, and scrap baling; logistics services consisting of warehouse and yard management, raw and finished material transportation, semi-finished and finished product handling, on-highway transportation, and coil and slab transportation; and co-product processing, handling, and marketing services, such as slag processing and marketing, briquetting, mixing plant services, coal/coke stockpiling and handling, iron ore handling, slag granulation and grinding, mill scale processing and marketing, and refractory brick crushing and bagging. Additionally, the company provides scrap management services, including scrap transport and reception, rail and barge unloading, scrap yard management, charge box and bucket transport, revert scrap collection, scrap inspection, and charge box and bucket loading; melt shop services, such as tundish removal, refractory tear-out, melt shop clean-up, pit digging, and pot carrying; and environmental and ancillary services, which consists of vacuum and sweeper truck services, scarfing and grinding, drone surveying, packaging, maintenance, equipment rental, by-product bagging, road and yard grading, and road and yard watering. SunCoke Energy, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Lisle, Illinois.

Related stocks: HCC (Warrior Met Coal, Inc.) · AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources, ) · METC (Ramaco Resources, Inc.) · METCB (Ramaco Resources, Inc.)
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