Alpha Metallurgical Resources, (AMR) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Coking Coal
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $182.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources is a Tennessee-based metallurgical coal producer operating 14 underground and 5 surface mines in the Central Appalachian basin (Virginia and West Virginia), supplying global steel and coke producers. Met coal represents 96% of coal revenues, with... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $182.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Alpha Metallurgical Resources,
Latest news
- Alpha Metallurgical Q1 EPS $(0.86), Sales $524.987M Miss $538.533M Estimate — benzinga May 8, 2026 negative
- Alpha Metallurgical Resources Expects To Report Net Loss Of $11M, Or $0.86 Per Share For First Quarter 2026 — benzinga Apr 24, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCommoditymet coal96%10-K Item 1: 'Met coal accounted for approximately 96% and 97%, respectively, of our coal revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024.'
- HIGHGeographicexport revenues73%10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, coal export revenues accounted for approximately 73% of our coal revenues.'
- HIGHCustomertop 10 customers77%10-K Item 1A: 'coal sales to our 10 largest customers accounted for approximately 77% of our total revenues'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Revenue shrinking — -1.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $182.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $169.54. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $207.76 (+14.0% upside). Prior stop was $169.54. Stop-loss: $169.54.
Concentration risk — Commodity: met coal (96.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: export revenues (73.0%); Target reached (-9.3% upside).
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover AMR with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $195.
What does Alpha Metallurgical Resources, do?Alpha Metallurgical Resources is a Tennessee-based metallurgical coal producer operating 14 underground and 5 surface...
Alpha Metallurgical Resources is a Tennessee-based metallurgical coal producer operating 14 underground and 5 surface mines in the Central Appalachian basin (Virginia and West Virginia), supplying global steel and coke producers. Met coal represents 96% of coal revenues, with exports (primarily to Asia) accounting for 73% of total coal revenues in 2025.