Suzano trades at a forward P/E of 5.7x with 26% ROE and ranks in the top decile of peers on both value and returns, offering a 31% margin of safety to analyst targets, but has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.0 with negative free cash flow.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
- Leverage With Negative Fcf→Stable
- Revenue Decline Weak Growth→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Suzano S.A. (SUZ) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $7.88: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Cellulose, and Paper. The company offers coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, tissue papers, and market and fluff pulps. It also... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $7.88: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Suzano S.A.
Latest news
- NEWS Suzano S.A. (SUZ) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings: Revenue Up but Net Income and EPS Down - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS SUZ (Suzano S.A. American Depositary Shares) Q4 2025 earnings blow past estimates, 5.7 percent revenue growth fails to l — Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La positive
- NEWS Suzano S.A. Sponsored ADR (NYSE:SUZ) Given Consensus Rating of "Hold" by Analysts - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS SUZ (Suzano S.A. American Depositary Shares) notches massive Q4 2025 earnings beat, but shares fall 1.65 percent today. — UBND thành phố Hải Phòng positive
- NEWS DYNAMO INTERNACIONAL GESTAO DE RECURSOS LTDA.'s Suzano SA(SUZ) Holding History - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
Generated 2026-07-06T06:00:35Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Revenue shrinking — -5.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $7.88: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.44. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $10.93 (+38.7% upside). Prior stop was $7.44. Stop-loss: $7.44.
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.
Suzano S.A. trades at a P/E of 4.5 (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover SUZ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $13.
What does Suzano S.A. do?Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments,...
Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Cellulose, and Paper. The company offers coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, tissue papers, and market and fluff pulps. It also engages in the research, development, and production of biofuel; operation of port terminals; biotechnology and nanocrystalline pulps research and development activities; power generation and distribution business; road freight transport activities; commercialization of equipment and parts; research and development of lignin; industrialization and commercialization of cellulose, microfiber cellulose, paper, and paperboard products; and industrialization, commercialization, and exporting of pulp products. In addition, the company is involved in the commercial office, corporate venture capital, and financial fundraising activities; production of consumer goods through cellulose-based liquids; development and production of cellulose-based fibers, yarns, and textile filaments; restoration, conservation, and preservation of forests; and research of raw materials for the textile industry. The company was formerly known as Suzano Papel e Celulose S.A. and changed its name to Suzano S.A. in April 2019. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Salvador, Brazil.