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STTState Street CorporationHold4.8·$170.18+0.30%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

State Street has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with a 4.5% average surprise, but trades above its analyst price target with a put/call ratio of 7.97 signaling unusually heavy bearish options activity, and revenue declined 3% year-over-year, clouding the near-term outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Extreme Put Call RatioStable
  • Revenue Decline Quality ConcernsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

State Street Corporation (STT) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

State Street Corporation provides investment servicing, markets and financing solutions, and investment management to institutional investors globally through two lines of business. Revenue is generated from custody, fund administration, foreign exchange, and asset management... Read more

$170.18+0.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#200 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.97%(5y avg 3.00%)Payout33.30%sustainable
Stop $161.67Target $171.10(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$171.32+0.7%14 analysts
$171.10our TP
$170.18price
$171.32mean
$120
$196

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 16, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.70)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.3
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$47.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn21.3%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth-2.8%
Beta1.43
Dividend1.97%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAmericas
    10-K Item 1: 'we serviced AUC/A of approximately $53.80 trillion, comprising approximately $37.42 trillion in the Americas'
  • LOWProductinvestment securities portfolio17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The gross interest income associated with our investment portfolio represented approximately 17% of our total gross revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02MEDIUM
    State Street appointed C. Jack Read as EVP, Global Controller and Chief Accounting Officer effective August 10, 2026, succeeding Elizabeth M. Schaefer. Read previously served as Global Controller at MSCI Inc. since August 2024.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOW
    Board elected Susan Gordon as independent director on March 19, 2026, appointing her to the Examining and Audit Committee and Technology and Operations Committee. Routine board appointment; no departures disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -2.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.8
Declining revenue: -3%
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $157.24Resistance $174.59

Price Targets

$162
$171
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $171.10 (+0.5%), stop $161.67 (−5.3%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $171.10 (+0.2% upside). Target $171.10 (+0.5%), stop $161.67 (−5.3%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Stop-loss: $161.67.

What are the risks of investing in STT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

Is STT overvalued or undervalued?

State Street Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about STT?

21 analysts cover STT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $171.

What does State Street Corporation do?State Street Corporation provides investment servicing, markets and financing solutions, and investment management to...

State Street Corporation provides investment servicing, markets and financing solutions, and investment management to institutional investors globally through two lines of business. Revenue is generated from custody, fund administration, foreign exchange, and asset management fees, with $53.80 trillion in assets under custody and administration and $5.67 trillion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, served by approximately 52,000 employees.

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