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STLAStellantis N.V.Sell5.1·$5.70-0.87%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Stellantis trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 4.0x, one of the cheapest auto manufacturer valuations available, but the business is generating negative free cash flow, operating margins have compressed to 3.1%, financial leverage is high at 3.3 times, and both the momentum and technical setup reflect a confirmed downtrend.

Thesis pillars

  • Margin Compression Value Trap RiskDeteriorating
  • Extreme Valuation Discount 4x PeStable
  • High Leverage Negative FcfStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Stellantis N.V. (STLA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.70: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Stellantis N.V. engages in the designing, engineering, manufacturing, distribution, and sale of automobiles and light commercial vehicles, engines, transmission systems, and mobility services worldwide. It provides luxury and premium vehicles; sport utility vehicles; and parts... Read more

$5.70+35.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#9 of 17 Auto Manufacturers
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-35.32%
IncomeYield10.58%Payout84.24%at-risk
Stop $5.31Target $7.73(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.6:1
Analyst target$8.89+55.9%10 analysts
$7.73our TP
$5.70price
$8.89mean
$14

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.70: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)3.4
Mkt Cap$16.5B
EV/EBITDA-33.0
Profit Mgn-13.9%
ROE-30.2%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta0.99
Dividend10.58%
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV92%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
1.1
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
4.1
Moat
4.4
Cash-burning: FCF -4% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
3.1
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
4.4
Bollinger
5.1
Gap
6.0
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dA.R:R 4.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.25Resistance $6.04

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.Upside+35.9%
A.R:R4.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STLA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.70: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Prior stop was $5.31. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STLA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.73 (+35.9% upside). Prior stop was $5.31. Stop-loss: $5.31.

What are the risks of investing in STLA?

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is STLA overvalued or undervalued?

Stellantis N.V. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 3.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STLA?

36 analysts cover STLA with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Stellantis N.V. do?Stellantis N.V. engages in the designing, engineering, manufacturing, distribution, and sale of automobiles and light...

Stellantis N.V. engages in the designing, engineering, manufacturing, distribution, and sale of automobiles and light commercial vehicles, engines, transmission systems, and mobility services worldwide. It provides luxury and premium vehicles; sport utility vehicles; and parts and accessories. The company also provides contract services; retail and dealer financing services; and vehicle leasing and rental services, as well as engages in after-market parts and service businesses and data businesses. It offers its products under the Abarth, Alfa Romeo, Chrysler, Citroën, DS Automobiles, Dodge, Fiat, Jeep, Maserati, Ram Trucks, Opel, Lancia, Vauxhall, Peugeot, Free2move, Share Now, Leasys, and Comau brand names through distributors and dealers. The company has a strategic collaboration with Microsoft Corporation for the development of AI initiatives across sales, customer care, and operations. The company operates in North America, France, Brazil, Italy, Germany, the United Kingdom, Turkiye, Spain, Argentina, Belgium, Austria, the Netherlands, Portugal, Poland, Algeria, Morocco, Japan, China, and internationally. Stellantis N.V. was founded in 1899 and is based in Hoofddorp, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: CYD (China Yuchai International Limi) · NIO (NIO Inc.) · VFS (VinFast Auto Ltd.) · PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK ) · HMC (Honda Motor Company, Ltd.)
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