Stag Industrial earns a Rule of 40 score of 62 and converts 187% of net income into free cash flow, reflecting elite industrial REIT cash economics, but the stock is trading above its analyst consensus price target with no near-term upside and an unfavorable reward-to-risk ratio.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Rule Of 40 Cash Economics→Stable
- Earnings Beat Consistency Reit→Stable
- Industrial Property Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Stag Industrial, Inc. (STAG) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Real Estate · REIT - Industrial
Wait for pullback to $39.05. BUY gates pass at $41.11, but concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $39.05 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet, with the portfolio 96.4% leased at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from leasing industrial properties, with no single tenant exceeding 2.8%... Read more
Wait for pullback to $39.05. BUY gates pass at $41.11, but concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $39.05 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Stag Industrial, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS STAG Industrial Streamlines Debt by Merging Term Loans and Extends Maturity to 2032 with Spread Reduction - Kalkine Medi — Kalkine Media positive
- NEWS Q4 2025 STAG Industrial Inc Earnings Call Transcript - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS STAG Industrial stock holds steady as industrial REIT focuses on leased portfolio and dividend - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS neutral
- NEWS STAG Industrial, Inc. Revenue Breakdown – HAM:SW6 - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS STAG Industrial Inc expected to post earnings of 27 cents a share - Earnings Preview - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:05Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHPropertyindustrial properties10-K Item 1A: 'all our buildings were industrial properties'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $39.05. BUY gates pass at $41.11, but concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $39.05 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $41.76 (+1.6%), stop $37.41 (−9.9%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $41.76 (-11.3% upside). Target $41.76 (+1.6%), stop $37.41 (−9.9%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $37.41.
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away).
Stag Industrial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.4 (forward 46.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
18 analysts cover STAG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $42.
What does Stag Industrial, Inc. do?STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million...
STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet, with the portfolio 96.4% leased at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from leasing industrial properties, with no single tenant exceeding 2.8% of total annualized base rental revenue across the broadly diversified portfolio.