Stag Industrial earns a Rule of 40 score of 62 and converts 187% of net income into free cash flow, reflecting elite industrial REIT cash economics, but the stock is trading above its analyst consensus price target with no near-term upside and an unfavorable reward-to-risk ratio.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Rule Of 40 Cash Economics→Stable
- Earnings Beat Consistency Reit→Stable
- Industrial Property Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Stag Industrial, Inc. (STAG) Stock Analysis
Real Estate · REIT - Industrial
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties.
STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet, with the portfolio 96.4% leased at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from leasing industrial properties, with no single tenant exceeding 2.8%... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Stag Industrial, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS STAG Industrial Streamlines Debt by Merging Term Loans and Extends Maturity to 2032 with Spread Reduction - Kalkine Medi — Kalkine Media positive
- NEWS Stag Industrial Q2 Results: FFO $0.65, Sales Beat Estimates - scanx.trade — scanx.trade positive
- NEWS Stag Industrial (STAG) Q2 FFO Meet Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS STAG Industrial earnings beat by $0.01, revenue topped estimates - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS STAG INDUSTRIAL ($STAG) Releases Q2 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
Generated 2026-08-15T11:27:13Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHPropertyindustrial properties10-K Item 1A: 'all our buildings were industrial properties'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.41. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $41.34 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $35.41. Stop-loss: $35.41.
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.
Stag Industrial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.4 (forward 42.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover STAG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $42.
What does Stag Industrial, Inc. do?STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million...
STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet, with the portfolio 96.4% leased at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from leasing industrial properties, with no single tenant exceeding 2.8% of total annualized base rental revenue across the broadly diversified portfolio.