Stag Industrial earns a Rule of 40 score of 62 and converts 187% of net income into free cash flow, reflecting elite industrial REIT cash economics, but the stock is trading above its analyst consensus price target with no near-term upside and an unfavorable reward-to-risk ratio.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Rule Of 40 Cash Economics↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Beat Consistency Reit↓Deteriorating
- Industrial Property Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026· older than 90 days
Stag Industrial, Inc. (STAG) Stock Analysis
Real Estate · REIT - Industrial
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties.
STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet, with the portfolio 96.4% leased at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from leasing industrial properties, with no single tenant exceeding 2.8%... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 97d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Oct 27, 2026Recent Developments — Stag Industrial, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS STAG Industrial Launches $250 Million Share Buyback Program (STA - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Oct 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS Stag Industrial Inc (STAG) Q3 2026 Earnings: EPS of $0.37 and Re - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Oct 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS STAG Industrial Q3 Core Funds From Operations, Revenue Rise; Declares Dividend - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com Oct 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS STAG Industrial earnings beat by $0.10, revenue topped estimates - Investing.com — Investing.com Oct 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS STAG INDUSTRIAL ANNOUNCES THIRD QUARTER 2026 RESULTS - PR Newswire — PR Newswire Oct 27, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 27, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHPropertyindustrial properties10-K Item 1A: 'all our buildings were industrial properties'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $36.57. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $35.96 reached (−5.0% from $37.85); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $36.57. Stop-loss: $36.57.
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.
Stag Industrial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.8 (forward 43.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts rate STAG, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 12 analysts publish price targets averaging $41.
What does Stag Industrial, Inc. do?STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million...
STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet, with the portfolio 96.4% leased at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from leasing industrial properties, with no single tenant exceeding 2.8% of total annualized base rental revenue across the broadly diversified portfolio.