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SONYSony Group CorporationSell5.0·$20.84+3.12%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sony Group trades in a confirmed death-cross downtrend below all moving averages with RSI at 34 and burning cash at the operating level, but analysts see roughly 44% upside to consensus targets and the stock is near Bollinger lower-band technical support that has historically preceded reversals.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Negative Quality ConcernStable
  • Analyst Consensus Large UpsideStable
  • Low Short Interest Technical SupportStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sony Group Corporation (SONY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Consumer Electronics

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.84: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Sony Group Corporation develops, designs, produces, manufactures, supplies, and sells electronic equipment, instruments, and devices for consumer, professional, and industrial use in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company... Read more

$20.84+20.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#2 of 4 Consumer Electronics
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1108.98%
IncomeYield0.76%(5y avg 0.60%)Payout14.25%sustainable
Stop $19.79Target $24.97(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$29.38+41.0%4 analysts
$24.97our TP
$20.84price
$29.38mean
$34

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.84: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$122.5B
EV/EBITDA0.0
Profit Mgn-2.6%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth8.3%
Beta0.74
Dividend0.76%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.6

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
2.2
Roa
2.6
Roe
4.1
Operating Margin
4.3
Current Ratio
4.5
Moat
6.2
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -11% of revenue
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.32Resistance $22.32

Price Targets

$20
$25
A.Upside+19.8%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SONY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.84: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $19.79. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SONY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.97 (+20.1% upside). Prior stop was $19.79. Stop-loss: $19.79.

What are the risks of investing in SONY?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is SONY overvalued or undervalued?

Sony Group Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SONY?

31 analysts cover SONY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Sony Group Corporation do?Sony Group Corporation develops, designs, produces, manufactures, supplies, and sells electronic equipment,...

Sony Group Corporation develops, designs, produces, manufactures, supplies, and sells electronic equipment, instruments, and devices for consumer, professional, and industrial use in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through Game & Network Services, Music, Pictures, Entertainment Technology & Services, and Imaging & Sensing Solutions. It develops, designs, produces, manufactures, provides, and sells smartphones and image sensors; plans, produces, manufactures, and sells music software, performances and merchandise, song lyrics and music management, licensing, animation works, and game applications. The company is also involved in the production, acquisition, sale, and distribution of motion pictures and television programs; operates television networks and direct-to-consumer distribution services; insurance business, including life insurance and non-life insurance; internet banking; production and sale of digital software add-on content; manufacturing and sales of home video game consoles; and interchangeable lens, projectors, and medical equipment. It has a strategic partnership with TCL Electronics Holdings Limited in the home entertainment sector; and a non-binding memorandum of understanding with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited for a strategic partnership regarding the development and manufacturing of image sensors. The company was formerly known as Sony Corporation and changed its name to Sony Group Corporation in April 2021. Sony Group Corporation was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

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