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SMCSummit Midstream CorporationSell5.4·$29.80+1.02%
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Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.80: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 6.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Summit Midstream Corporation owns, develops, and operates midstream energy infrastructure assets primarily shale formations in the continental United States. It operates through Rockies, Permian, Piceance, Mid-Con, and Northeast segments. The company owns, develops, and operates... Read more

$29.80+39.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#27 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.67%
Stop $27.82Target $41.65(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 6.0:1
Analyst target$49.00+64.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.80: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 6.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)24.8
Mkt Cap$412M
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn-4.0%
ROE-3.5%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.74
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV59%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Growth Rank
2.6
Value Rank
8.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.5
Moat
3.9
Current Ratio
4.6
Operating Margin
4.9
Gross Margin
5.2
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -0% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 6.8>=5.5A.R:R 6.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.01Resistance $30.55

Price Targets

$28
$42
A.Upside+39.8%
A.R:R6.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.80: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 6.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.82. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.65 (+39.8% upside). Prior stop was $27.82. Stop-loss: $27.82.

What are the risks of investing in SMC?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is SMC overvalued or undervalued?

Summit Midstream Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 24.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SMC?

5 analysts cover SMC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Summit Midstream Corporation do?Summit Midstream Corporation owns, develops, and operates midstream energy infrastructure assets primarily shale...

Summit Midstream Corporation owns, develops, and operates midstream energy infrastructure assets primarily shale formations in the continental United States. It operates through Rockies, Permian, Piceance, Mid-Con, and Northeast segments. The company owns, develops, and operates natural gas, crude oil, produced water gathering systems, and transmission pipelines. It serves natural gas and crude oil producers. Summit Midstream Corporation was founded in 2009 and is based in Houston, Texas.

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