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SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.Sell5.7·$46.39+0.61%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Silgan Holdings trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10 times with a price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.19 and analysts see 31% upside, but a confirmed price downtrend, mixed earnings history, and an officer departure signal create near-term uncertainty despite the attractive valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Forward Pe 10xStable
  • Leadership Change SignalStable
  • Mixed Earnings Beat MissStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers — through 121 plants across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, generating approximately $6.5 billion in consolidated net sales in... Read more

$46.39-0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 19 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.64%
IncomeYield1.81%(5y avg 1.51%)Payout30.34%sustainable
Stop $43.67Target $46.02(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$53.17+14.6%12 analysts
$46.02our TP
$46.39price
$53.17mean
$44
$61

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE12.9%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta0.66
Dividend1.81%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C5.50bearish
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductmetal containers48%
    10-K Item 1: 'our metal containers business had net sales of $3.1 billion (approximately 48.4 percent of our consolidated net sales)'
  • MEDIUMProductdispensing and specialty closures42%
    10-K Item 1: 'our dispensing and specialty closures business had net sales of $2.7 billion (approximately 41.8 percent of our consolidated net sales)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02LOW
    On May 26, 2026, stockholders approved First Amendment to Silgan Holdings Inc.'s Second Amended and Restated 2004 Stock Incentive Plan: adds 4,000,000 shares, raises per-participant RSU cap to 1,200,000 per 36-month period, and extends plan term to June 30, 2031.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
6.6
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
89 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $35.68Resistance $46.96

Price Targets

$44
$46
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Prior stop was $43.67. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SLGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.02 (-0.8% upside). Prior stop was $43.67. Stop-loss: $43.67.

What are the risks of investing in SLGN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Elevated risk factors.

Is SLGN overvalued or undervalued?

Silgan Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SLGN?

20 analysts cover SLGN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Silgan Holdings Inc. do?Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and...

Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers — through 121 plants across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, generating approximately $6.5 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025. The company holds more than half of the US metal food container market by unit volume, with approximately 90% of metal container volumes covered under multi-year supply agreements.

Related stocks: CCK (Crown Holdings, Inc.) · MYE (Myers Industries, Inc.) · REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.) · BALL (Ball Corporation) · KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.)
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