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SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.Hold6.2·$42.48+0.74%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Silgan Holdings trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10 times with a price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.19 and analysts see 31% upside, but a confirmed price downtrend, mixed earnings history, and an officer departure signal create near-term uncertainty despite the attractive valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Forward Pe 10xStable
  • Leadership Change SignalDeteriorating
  • Mixed Earnings Beat MissDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers — through 121 plants across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, generating approximately $6.5 billion in consolidated net sales in... Read more

$42.48+12.2% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#4 of 19 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.03%
IncomeYield2.07%(5y avg 1.51%)Payout32.16%sustainable
Stop $39.51Target $47.65(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$54.77+28.9%13 analysts
$47.65our TP
$42.48price
$54.77mean
$61

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.0
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta0.68
Dividend2.07%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV77%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductmetal containers48%
    10-K Item 1: 'our metal containers business had net sales of $3.1 billion (approximately 48.4 percent of our consolidated net sales)'
  • MEDIUMProductdispensing and specialty closures42%
    10-K Item 1: 'our dispensing and specialty closures business had net sales of $2.7 billion (approximately 41.8 percent of our consolidated net sales)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02LOW
    On May 26, 2026, stockholders approved First Amendment to Silgan Holdings Inc.'s Second Amended and Restated 2004 Stock Incentive Plan: adds 4,000,000 shares, raises per-participant RSU cap to 1,200,000 per 36-month period, and extends plan term to June 30, 2031.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $39.83Resistance $48.13

Price Targets

$40
$48
A.Upside+12.2%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLGN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $47.65 (+12.2%), stop $39.51 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SLGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.65 (+12.2% upside). Target $47.65 (+12.2%), stop $39.51 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $39.51.

What are the risks of investing in SLGN?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Is SLGN overvalued or undervalued?

Silgan Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SLGN?

21 analysts cover SLGN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Silgan Holdings Inc. do?Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and...

Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers — through 121 plants across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, generating approximately $6.5 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025. The company holds more than half of the US metal food container market by unit volume, with approximately 90% of metal container volumes covered under multi-year supply agreements.

Related stocks: KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) · CCK (Crown Holdings, Inc.) · AMCR (Amcor plc) · MYE (Myers Industries, Inc.) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.)
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